Development and validation of a multimodal interpretable machine learning model for the identification of osteoporosis in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a multicenter retrospective study - Report - MDSpire
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Creation and assessment of an interpretable multimodal machine learning model for detecting osteoporosis in individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a multicenter retrospective analysis

  • By

  • Jihao Cheng

  • Chuanjiang Liu

  • Mengyin Gu

  • Dongying Su

  • Jingyun Liao

  • July 1, 2026

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Clinical Report: Multimodal Machine Learning Model for Osteoporosis in T2DM

Overview

This study developed a multimodal machine learning model to detect osteoporosis in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), achieving high accuracy in identifying osteoporosis risk. The model integrates various clinical data.

Background

Osteoporosis is a significant complication in T2DM patients, increasing fracture risk and mortality. Current screening methods are often inadequate. This study utilizes machine learning to enhance osteoporosis detection in this high-risk population.

Data Highlights

CohortSample SizeAUC
Training Set8520.877 (95% CI: 0.830–0.923)
External Validation Set1260.911 (95% CI: 0.879–0.943)

Key Findings

  • Seven predictors identified: age, hemoglobin, neutrophil count, uric acid, lymphocyte-to-HDL ratio, skeletal muscle index at L3, and metabolic score for visceral fat.
  • The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model outperformed other algorithms in predicting osteoporosis risk.
  • SHAP analysis indicated age, hemoglobin, and uric acid as the most significant contributors to the model.
  • Calibration and decision curve analyses confirmed the model's clinical utility.
  • The prevalence of osteoporosis among T2DM patients in China is estimated at 35%, projected to rise to 40.8% by 2030.

Clinical Implications

Further prospective validation is necessary to establish the clinical utility of the developed model.

Conclusion

This study presents a robust machine learning model for osteoporosis risk prediction in T2DM.

Related Resources & Content

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  2. Frontiers in Medicine, 2026 -- Predicting poor response to anti-osteoporosis therapy: a machine learning model integrating clinical and novel biomarker data
  3. Frontiers in Endocrinology, 2026 -- Development and external validation of an interpretable machine learning model for diagnosing coronary heart disease in patients with type 2 diabetes and MASLD
  4. Recommendation: Osteoporosis to Prevent Fractures: Screening | United States Preventive Services Taskforce
  5. Updated December 2024 -- NOGG Guideline 2024
  6. Frontiers in Endocrinology — Interpretable machine learning for predicting major amputation risk in hospitalized diabetic foot ulcer patients: a single-center study with temporal external validation
  7. Clinical Use of Trabecular Bone Score: The 2023 ISCD Official Positions
  8. Increased bone fragility in diabetes mellitus
  9. Recommendation: Osteoporosis to Prevent Fractures: Screening | United States Preventive Services Taskforce
  10. Updated December 2024
  11. Biases in the performance of FRAX without BMD in predicting fracture risk in a multiethnic population with diabetes: the Diabetes and Aging Study
  12. Trabecular Bone Score in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: An Updated Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis - PubMed
  13. Association between type 2 diabetes and site‐specific fracture risk: A systematic review and meta‐analysis of cohort studies including over 13 million participants - PMC
  14. The Impact of Different Antidiabetic Drugs on Fracture Risk in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials With a Focus on SGLT2 Inhibitors - PubMed
  15. Effect of GLP-1 receptor agonists on bone mineral density, bone metabolism markers, and fracture risk in type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis - PubMed
  16. Clinical implications of fracture severity risk with pioglitazone: a systematic review and meta-analysis of clinical randomized trials - PubMed
  17. Bone microstructure and TBS in diabetes: what have we learned? A narrative review - PubMed

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