Development and validation of a prediction model for tuberculous peritoneal effusion - Report - MDSpire

Development and validation of a prediction model for tuberculous peritoneal effusion

  • By

  • Libin Liu

  • Tingting Fang

  • Qianqian Peng

  • Hui Wei

  • Long Cai

  • June 19, 2026

  • 0 min

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Clinical Report: Creation and assessment of a predictive model for diagnosing tuberculous peritoneal effusion

Overview

This study developed and validated a nomogram for diagnosing tuberculous peritoneal effusion (TPE) using clinical data.

Background

Tuberculosis remains a leading cause of infectious disease mortality worldwide, with extrapulmonary cases, including tuberculous peritoneal effusion (TPE), presenting significant diagnostic challenges. Early and accurate diagnosis of TPE is critical to prevent complications. Traditional diagnostic methods face limitations, highlighting the need for innovative approaches like the nomogram developed in this study.

Data Highlights

GroupAUC
Training0.974
Validation0.955

Key Findings

  • Seven independent predictors for TPE were identified: age, fever, ascites ADA, ascites CEA, ascites total protein, serum CEA, and serum creatinine.
  • The nomogram model achieved an AUC of 0.974 in the training group and 0.955 in the validation group.
  • Calibration curves indicated good agreement between predicted and observed outcomes.
  • Decision curve analysis demonstrated the model's diagnostic performance.

Clinical Implications

The nomogram developed in this study can assist clinicians in making early and accurate diagnoses of TPE.

Conclusion

The validated nomogram provides a diagnostic approach to tuberculous peritoneal effusion.

Related Resources & Content

  1. Frontiers in Medicine, 2026 -- Nanopore-targeted sequencing for rapid and accurate diagnosis of tuberculous serous effusions: a prospective evaluation across pleural, peritoneal, and pericardial fluids
  2. Infection, 2025 -- Tuberculosis of the Peritoneum
  3. Open Forum Infectious Diseases -- Creating an Accessible Scoring Model Based on CT Imaging to Anticipate Treatment Failure in Mycobacterium avium Complex Pulmonary Disease: The BCD (Bronchiectasis and Cavity Distribution) Score
  4. Infection -- Diagnosis of Disseminated Tuberculosis via Positron Emission Tomography and Mini-Laparoscopy in a Patient Undergoing TNF-α Inhibitor Treatment
  5. WHO consolidated guidelines on tuberculosis: module 3: diagnosis
  6. Infection -- Diagnostic performance of adenosine deaminase for extrapulmonary tuberculosis in a higher-prevalence area of mainland France: a 10-year retrospective study
  7. WHO consolidated guidelines on tuberculosis: module 3: diagnosis
  8. Diagnostic performance of adenosine deaminase for extrapulmonary tuberculosis in a higher-prevalence area of mainland France: a 10-year retrospective study | Infection | Springer Nature Link

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