Trajectories of symptom scores and risk of cardiovascular events in the vulnerable phase of heart failure: an analysis using a latent class trajectory model - Report - MDSpire

Symptom Score Patterns and Cardiovascular Event Risk During the Vulnerable Phase Post-Heart Failure Discharge: Insights from a Latent Class Trajectory Analysis

  • By

  • Dan Xiao

  • Yuan Xu

  • Yan Jiang

  • Zhiteng Xiong

  • Qihui Shen

  • Xinglan Sun

  • Xiaoyun Xiong

  • Bing Hu

  • July 20, 2026

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Clinical Report: Symptom Score Patterns and Cardiovascular Event Risk Post-HF Discharge

Overview

This study identifies distinct symptom trajectory patterns in patients post-heart failure discharge and their association with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). A persistently declining symptom trajectory was linked to a significantly higher risk of MACEs compared to stable-moderate trajectories.

Background

The initial months following discharge for heart failure are critical, characterized by high rates of rehospitalization and mortality. Understanding symptom trajectories during this vulnerable phase is important for assessing patient outcomes. This study contributes to the limited evidence on post-discharge symptom evolution in heart failure patients.

Data Highlights

Symptom Trajectory GroupOdds Ratio for MACEs
Persistently Declining2.242 (95% CI: 1.073–4.718, P = 0.032)
Stable-ModerateReference

Key Findings

  • 207 patients (18.7%) experienced major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) during follow-up.
  • Four distinct symptom trajectory groups were identified: persistently declining, slowly improving, stable-moderate, and stable-high.
  • Patients in the persistently declining group had significantly higher odds of MACEs compared to the stable-moderate group.
  • The exploratory mediation analysis indicated a significant indirect association between KCCQ scores and MACEs through trajectory patterns.
  • Symptom recovery post-HF hospitalization was heterogeneous, with varying implications for cardiovascular outcomes.

Clinical Implications

The study provides insights into symptom trajectories using the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) and their association with cardiovascular risks.

Conclusion

The study emphasizes the importance of understanding symptom trajectories in predicting cardiovascular outcomes in heart failure patients during the vulnerable post-discharge phase.

Related Resources & Content

  1. Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine, 2026 -- Latent transition analysis of home-based fluid management during the vulnerable phase in patients with chronic heart failure: impact on symptom burden
  2. Frontiers in Medicine, 2026 -- Identification of frailty heterogeneity and its transition trajectories in patients with chronic heart failure: a latent transition analysis
  3. Clinical Research in Cardiology, 2025 -- Assessing Risk in Heart Failure Through Invasive Hemodynamic Measurements
  4. 2024 ACC Expert Consensus Decision Pathway on Clinical Assessment, Management, and Trajectory of Patients Hospitalized With Heart Failure Focused Update: A Report of the American College of Cardiology Solution Set Oversight Committee | JACC
  5. Trial of an Intervention to Improve Acute Heart Failure Outcomes | New England Journal of Medicine
  6. Clinical Research in Cardiology — Real-time cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging for the non-invasive assessment of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: outcomes from the HFpEF stress trial
  7. 2024 ACC Expert Consensus Decision Pathway on Clinical Assessment, Management, and Trajectory of Patients Hospitalized With Heart Failure Focused Update: A Report of the American College of Cardiology Solution Set Oversight Committee | JACC
  8. Trial of an Intervention to Improve Acute Heart Failure Outcomes | New England Journal of Medicine
  9. Multi-trajectories of symptoms and their associations with unplanned 30-day hospital readmission among patients with heart failure: a longitudinal study - PubMed

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