Diabetes prevention while treating obesity: STEP by STEP analysis of an apparently inSURMOUNTable problem - Report - MDSpire

Diabetes prevention while treating obesity: STEP by STEP analysis of an apparently inSURMOUNTable problem

  • By

  • Maria Chantal Ponziani

  • Marco Chianelli

  • On behalf of Obesity Commission of Associazione Medici Endocrinologi

  • January 20, 2026

  • 0 min

Share

Addressing Obesity to Prevent Diabetes: Insights from STEP and SURMOUNT Trials

Overview

Obesity is the primary risk factor for prediabetes, which significantly increases the risk of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease. Pharmacological agents targeting the incretin axis, including GLP-1 receptor agonists and dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonists, have demonstrated substantial efficacy in promoting weight loss and preventing progression to diabetes in individuals with obesity and prediabetes.

Background

Prediabetes is a prevalent condition characterized by impaired glucose regulation and is strongly linked to obesity. Lifestyle interventions remain the cornerstone of diabetes prevention but often yield limited long-term success. Advances in pharmacotherapy, particularly agents modulating the incretin effect such as GLP-1 receptor agonists (liraglutide, semaglutide) and dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonists (tirzepatide), have emerged as effective strategies to reduce weight and improve glycemic control. These therapies address both the pathophysiological defects in insulin secretion and the excess adiposity that drive diabetes onset.

Data Highlights

AgentTrialWeight Loss (%)Diabetes Risk ReductionDuration
LiraglutideSCALE Obesity Prediabetes6.1%79% reduction in diabetes incidence3 years
SemaglutideSTEP 1,3,4,10; SELECT~15.4%Significant reversion to normoglycemia and reduced progressionVaried (up to 3 years)
TirzepatideSURMOUNT-1; Phase 3 diabetes prevention trial20.9%Unprecedented reduction in diabetes onsetVaried

Key Findings

  • Obesity is the leading modifiable risk factor for prediabetes and subsequent type 2 diabetes.
  • Liraglutide reduced diabetes incidence by 79% over 3 years in overweight/obese patients with prediabetes (SCALE trial), with 66% regressing to normoglycemia.
  • Semaglutide demonstrated consistent weight loss (~15.4%) and improved glycemic outcomes across multiple STEP trials and the SELECT cardiovascular outcomes trial.
  • Tirzepatide achieved the greatest weight loss (~20.9%) and showed superior diabetes prevention efficacy compared to semaglutide in recent real-world data.
  • The incretin effect, mediated by GLP-1 and GIP, is impaired in type 2 diabetes and obesity, providing a mechanistic rationale for incretin-based therapies.
  • Pharmacotherapy targeting the incretin axis complements lifestyle interventions by improving beta-cell function, insulin sensitivity, and reducing oxidative stress.

Clinical Implications

Incorporating GLP-1 receptor agonists and dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonists into treatment regimens for patients with obesity and prediabetes can substantially reduce progression to type 2 diabetes. These agents offer durable weight loss and improved glycemic control beyond lifestyle modification alone. Clinicians should consider these pharmacotherapies as part of a comprehensive diabetes prevention strategy, especially in high-risk individuals.

Conclusion

Antiobesity pharmacotherapy targeting the incretin axis represents a pivotal advancement in preventing type 2 diabetes among patients with obesity and prediabetes. The robust evidence from the STEP and SURMOUNT trials underscores the potential to modify disease trajectory and achieve meaningful clinical outcomes.

References

  1. De Fronzo RA 2009 -- The Ominous Octet in Type 2 Diabetes Pathogenesis
  2. SCALE Obesity Prediabetes Trial -- Liraglutide for Diabetes Prevention
  3. STEP and SELECT Trials -- Semaglutide in Obesity and Diabetes Prevention
  4. SURMOUNT-1 Trial -- Tirzepatide for Obesity and Diabetes Prevention

Original Source(s)

Related Content