Non-linear association between thyroid scintigraphy-derived thyroid weight and I-131 treatment efficacy in graves’ disease: a multicenter restricted cubic spline and threshold analysis - Report - MDSpire

Non-linear association between thyroid scintigraphy-derived thyroid weight and I-131 treatment efficacy in graves’ disease: a multicenter restricted cubic spline and threshold analysis

  • By

  • Lu Lu

  • LeLe Zhang

  • Dongyun Meng

  • Xiaojuan Wei

  • Yan Chen

  • Shaozhou Mo

  • Zeyong Sun

  • Fengyang Song

  • Yuehua Li

  • Xingyu Mu

  • Wentan Huang

  • Wei Fu

  • Kehua Liao

  • July 17, 2026

Share

Non-linear Relationship Between Thyroid Weight and I-131 Treatment Efficacy

Overview

This study characterizes the non-linear relationship between thyroid weight and the efficacy of I-131 treatment in Graves' disease, identifying critical thresholds that influence treatment outcomes. An exploratory inflection point at 46 g was noted, with significant predictors including thyroid weight and disease duration.

Background

Graves' disease is a prevalent cause of autoimmune hyperthyroidism, particularly affecting women. I-131 therapy is a standard treatment, yet predicting its efficacy based on thyroid weight remains complex.

Data Highlights

ParameterValue
Patients Analyzed612
Mean Age41.2 ± 12.4 years
Non-remission Rate40.8%
Adjusted OR for Thyroid Weight1.025 (95% CI: 1.017-1.034)
Inflection Point46 g

Key Findings

  • Thyroid weight shows a significant non-linear association with I-131 treatment efficacy (P-nonlinear = 0.034).
  • 40.8% of patients experienced non-remission after initial I-131 therapy.
  • Female gender and disease duration >2 years are independent predictors of treatment outcome.
  • An exploratory inflection point for thyroid weight was identified at 46 g (P = 0.030).
  • RAIU at 3 h was a modest partial mediator of treatment efficacy (mediated proportion: 5.8%).

Clinical Implications

Accurate estimation of thyroid weight is essential for optimizing I-131 dosing strategies.

Conclusion

The findings highlight the complexity of the relationship between thyroid weight and I-131 treatment efficacy.

Related Resources & Content

  1. The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism, 2023 -- Impact of Methimazole Discontinuation Duration on I-131 Uptake Assessment via Tc-99m Thyroid Imaging in Patients with Graves’ Disease
  2. Frontiers in Endocrinology, 2023 -- Preliminary Volume‑Based Optimization of Radioiodine Dose without radioiodine uptake in Graves' Disease
  3. Frontiers in Oncology, 2023 -- Cervical lymph node response to 131I therapy in differentiated thyroid cancer using radiomics and clinical features
  4. NICE, 2025 -- Recommendations | Thyroid disease: assessment and management
  5. Predictive factors for the efficacy of radioiodine therapy in patients with Graves' disease - PubMed
  6. The EANM guideline on radioiodine therapy of benign thyroid disease - PMC
  7. The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism — Thyroglobulin Thresholds for Monitoring Low- and Intermediate-risk Thyroid Cancer: Insights from ITCO Real-world Data Analysis
  8. Recommendations | Thyroid disease: assessment and management | Guidance | NICE
  9. Predictive factors for the efficacy of radioiodine therapy in patients with Graves' disease - PubMed
  10. The EANM guideline on radioiodine therapy of benign thyroid disease - PMC

Original Source(s)

Related Content