Predictive Models Using Interpretable Machine Learning for Cardiovascular Survival in Breast Cancer Patients with Secondary Malignancies: Insights from a SEER Analysis - Report - MDSpire

Predictive Models Using Interpretable Machine Learning for Cardiovascular Survival in Breast Cancer Patients with Secondary Malignancies: Insights from a SEER Analysis

  • By

  • Wen Shui

  • Chao Lan

  • Xueqing Xing

  • Jian Wang

  • Huiping Liu

  • March 1, 2026

  • 0 min

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Predictive Models Using Interpretable Machine Learning for Cardiovascular Survival

Overview

This study developed and compared predictive models for cardiovascular survival in breast cancer patients with secondary malignancies using data from the SEER database. Machine learning algorithms demonstrated superior performance over traditional Cox regression models in assessing cardiovascular-specific survival.

Background

Breast cancer survivors face increased risks of secondary primary cancers and cardiovascular disease, which significantly impact long-term health outcomes. Traditional statistical methods struggle to accurately predict these risks due to the complexity of interactions between clinical characteristics and treatment-related toxicities. The integration of machine learning offers a promising approach to enhance risk stratification and improve clinical decision-making.

Data Highlights

No numerical data available.

Key Findings

  • Machine learning models outperformed Cox regression in predicting cardiovascular-specific survival in breast cancer patients with secondary malignancies.
  • Random survival forest (RSF), support vector machine (SVM), XGBoost, and DeepSurv were evaluated for their predictive capabilities.
  • SHAP analysis was utilized to interpret the contribution of various risk factors in the optimal model.
  • An interactive web-based prediction tool was developed to facilitate personalized risk assessment.
  • Cardiovascular disease mortality is a leading cause of non-cancer mortality among breast cancer survivors.

Clinical Implications

Healthcare providers should consider implementing machine learning-based predictive models to enhance risk assessment for cardiovascular complications in breast cancer survivors. The development of interactive tools can aid in personalized patient management and improve clinical outcomes.

Conclusion

The study highlights the potential of machine learning in improving cardiovascular survival predictions for breast cancer patients with secondary malignancies, emphasizing the need for integrated risk assessment strategies.

References

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  4. The ASCO Post, 2025 -- Model for Predicting Risk of Heart Failure or Cardiomyopathy After Breast Cancer Treatment
  5. Prevention of Cancer Therapy-Related Cardiac Dysfunction and Heart Failure in Cancer Patients and Survivors, European Journal of Heart Failure, 2025
  6. Cardiac Safety of Reduced Cardiotoxicity Surveillance During HER2-Targeted Therapy - PubMed
  7. Socioeconomic disparities in long-term heart failure risk of trastuzumab with or without anthracyclines in early-stage breast cancer: a SEER-Medicare database analysis, npj Breast Cancer, 2025
  8. Prevention of Cancer Therapy-Related Cardiac Dysfunction and Heart Failure in Cancer Patients and Survivors. A Clinical Consensus Statement of the Heart Failure Association, the European Association of Preventive Cardiology of the ESC, and the ESC Council of Cardio-Oncology | European Journal of Heart Failure | Oxford Academic
  9. Cardiac Safety of Reduced Cardiotoxicity Surveillance During HER2-Targeted Therapy - PubMed
  10. Socioeconomic disparities in long-term heart failure risk of trastuzumab with or without anthracyclines in early-stage breast cancer: a SEER-Medicare database analysis | npj Breast Cancer

Original Source(s)

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