National trends and county-level geographic disparities in mortality from operationally defined cardiovascular–kidney–metabolic stages 4 and 4b in the United States - Report - MDSpire

National trends and county-level geographic disparities in mortality from operationally defined cardiovascular–kidney–metabolic stages 4 and 4b in the United States

  • By

  • Kaide Xia

  • Junwen Wang

  • Bingpeng Gao

  • May 29, 2026

  • 0 min

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Trends in Mortality and Geographic Variations for Advanced CKM Syndrome

Overview

This report analyzes mortality trends for advanced stages 4 and 4b of cardiovascular–kidney–metabolic syndrome in the U.S. from 1999 to 2023, revealing an overall decline in mortality rates but a concerning rebound in recent years. Geographic disparities in mortality rates highlight the need for targeted interventions.

Background

Advanced cardiovascular–kidney–metabolic (CKM) syndrome represents a critical public health issue due to its association with high morbidity and mortality rates. Understanding mortality trends and geographic variations is essential for developing effective prevention and management strategies. The recent reversal in mortality trends underscores the urgency of addressing these disparities.

Data Highlights

YearStage 4 Mortality (per 100,000)Stage 4b Mortality (per 100,000)
1999505.5445.95
2023353.3033.98

Key Findings

  • Age-adjusted mortality for stage 4 declined from 505.54 to 353.30 per 100,000 from 1999 to 2023.
  • Stage 4b mortality decreased from 45.95 to 33.98 per 100,000 during the same period.
  • Mortality trends for stage 4 reversed after 2013, showing an annual percent change of +1.17%.
  • Stage 4b mortality began to increase after 2015, with an annual percent change of +4.63%.
  • Geographic clustering revealed high-burden areas in the Deep South and Appalachia for stage 4 mortality.
  • Stage 4b hotspots were more dispersed, indicating varied regional impacts.

Clinical Implications

Healthcare professionals should be aware of the rising mortality trends in advanced CKM syndrome, particularly in specific geographic areas. Targeted interventions and integrated care strategies are necessary to address the disparities and improve outcomes for affected populations.

Conclusion

The findings highlight a concerning rebound in mortality rates for advanced CKM syndrome, emphasizing the need for enhanced surveillance and targeted interventions to mitigate geographic disparities.

Related Resources & Content

  1. American Journal of Epidemiology, 2023 -- Stagnant Trends: Rising and Flat Cardiovascular Disease Mortality Rates Post-2010 Across US States and Counties
  2. JAMA Network Open, 2023 -- Social Risk Factors and Disparities in Advanced Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome
  3. European Journal of Preventive Cardiology, 2023 -- Cardiovascular–kidney–metabolic syndrome and mortality in a prospective UK cohort study
  4. Frontiers in Endocrinology, 2023 -- Trends in acute myocardial infarction-related mortality among adults with type 1 vs. type 2 diabetes in the United States, 1999–2020
  5. Executive summary of the KDIGO 2024 Clinical Practice Guideline for the Evaluation and Management of Chronic Kidney Disease
  6. Evaluate Renal Function With Semaglutide Once Weekly - American College of Cardiology
  7. CDC Surveillance System: U.S. Population Below the Poverty Threshold Level and CKD in the U.S. Medicare Population, by County
  8. KDIGO 2024 Clinical Practice Guideline
  9. Evaluate Renal Function With Semaglutide Once Weekly - American College of Cardiology
  10. CDC Surveillance System: U.S. Population Below the Poverty Threshold Level and CKD in the U.S. Medicare Population, by County

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