Elevated serum total carbon dioxide levels at admission are linked to increased risk of early seizure recurrence in pediatric patients with benign convulsions associated with mild gastroenteritis
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By
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Ling Zou
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Feng Li
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Hongyu Li
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Zhihong Su
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June 16, 2026
Clinical Report: Elevated Serum Total Carbon Dioxide Levels and Seizure Recurrence
Overview
This study identifies elevated serum total carbon dioxide (TCO2) levels at admission as a significant predictor of early seizure recurrence in pediatric patients with benign convulsions associated with mild gastroenteritis. The findings suggest that TCO2 may serve as a useful biomarker for risk stratification in clinical settings.
Background
Benign convulsions with mild gastroenteritis (CwG) are common in young children and can lead to significant parental anxiety and healthcare resource utilization due to potential seizure recurrence. Identifying reliable biomarkers for early recurrence is crucial for optimizing patient management and improving outcomes. This study explores the association between admission serum TCO2 levels and the likelihood of seizure recurrence within 48 hours.
Data Highlights
| Measure | Recurrence Group | No Recurrence Group |
|---|---|---|
| Median TCO2 (mmol/L) | 17.4 | 15.1 |
| Odds Ratio for TCO2 | 1.235 (95% CI 1.053–1.448; P = 0.009) | |
| Cutoff TCO2 for Sensitivity | 16.25 mmol/L | |
| Sensitivity | 78.3% | |
| Specificity | 61.9% | |
| Negative Predictive Value | 88.7% | |
Key Findings
- 26.7% of children with CwG experienced seizure recurrence within 48 hours.
- Higher admission serum TCO2 levels were significantly associated with increased risk of recurrence.
- The median TCO2 level was 17.4 mmol/L in the recurrence group compared to 15.1 mmol/L in the non-recurrence group (P = 0.007).
- A TCO2 cutoff of 16.25 mmol/L provided 78.3% sensitivity for predicting recurrence.
- There was a strong correlation between venous TCO2 and arterial bicarbonate (r = 0.966, P < 0.001).
Clinical Implications
Clinicians should consider measuring serum TCO2 levels in pediatric patients presenting with benign convulsions associated with mild gastroenteritis to assess the risk of early seizure recurrence. This biomarker may aid in decision-making regarding observation and management strategies in the emergency department.
Conclusion
Elevated serum TCO2 levels at admission are linked to an increased risk of early seizure recurrence in children with CwG. Further validation in prospective studies is necessary to confirm these findings and establish TCO2 as a standard biomarker in clinical practice.
Related Resources & Content
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Based on findings from:
Higher admission serum total carbon dioxide is independently associated with early seizure recurrence in children with benign convulsions with mild gastroenteritis
Ling Zou, Feng Li, Hongyu Li, Zhihong Su. Frontiers In Pediatrics, 2026.
https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/pediatrics/articles/10.3389/fped.2026.1884706/full
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