Development and internal validation of a nomogram for predicting adverse pregnancy outcomes in women with early-onset preeclampsia - Report - MDSpire

Development and internal validation of a nomogram for predicting adverse pregnancy outcomes in women with early-onset preeclampsia

  • By

  • Haiqiong Ye

  • Qinlin Zheng

  • June 17, 2026

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Clinical Report: Predictive Nomogram for Adverse Outcomes in EOPE

Overview

This study developed and validated a nomogram to predict adverse pregnancy outcomes in women with early-onset preeclampsia (EOPE). The model incorporates seven independent predictors and demonstrates good predictive performance, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.859, indicating strong discrimination ability for identifying high-risk patients.

Background

Early-onset preeclampsia (EOPE) is a serious obstetric condition that significantly increases the risk of adverse maternal and fetal outcomes. Identifying patients at high risk for these outcomes is crucial for timely clinical intervention and improved management. The development of predictive models can aid in risk stratification and guide clinical decision-making in this vulnerable population.

Data Highlights

PredictorAssociation with Risk
Gestational age at admissionLower age increases risk
Systolic blood pressureEach 10-mmHg increase increases risk
Urine protein scoreEach 1-grade increase increases risk
Platelet countEach 50 × 109/L decrease increases risk
AST levelEach 10-U/L increase increases risk
Fetal growth restrictionAssociated with increased risk
HELLP syndromeAssociated with increased risk

Key Findings

  • Seven independent predictors were identified for adverse pregnancy outcomes in EOPE.
  • The nomogram showed an AUC of 0.859 in the validation cohort.
  • Calibration curves indicated acceptable agreement between predicted and observed risks.
  • Decision curve analysis suggested potential clinical net benefit across relevant threshold probabilities.
  • The model is intended for risk stratification after EOPE diagnosis, not for early prediction.
  • External validation is necessary before clinical implementation to ensure reliability across diverse populations.

Clinical Implications

The nomogram can assist clinicians in identifying women with EOPE at higher risk for adverse outcomes, facilitating timely interventions. However, external validation is crucial before clinical implementation to ensure its reliability across diverse populations.

Conclusion

The developed nomogram provides a valuable tool for risk stratification in women diagnosed with EOPE, demonstrating good predictive performance. Further multicenter validation is essential for broader clinical application, and the proposed risk categories should not be used as definitive clinical decision cutoffs without external validation.

Related Resources & Content

  1. BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth, 2026 -- Development and internal validation of a predictive model for intrapartum hypertension: a retrospective case-control study
  2. BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth, 2026 -- The use of the first trimester (AST × LDH × urea) / (platelet × hemoglobin) index in the prediction of preeclampsia
  3. conexiant -- ML Model May Predict Preeclampsia Risk
  4. Frontiers in Medicine, 2026 -- Weighted Risk Scoring System for Predicting Peripartum Transfusion: Development and Internal Validation
  5. PLGF-based testing to help diagnose suspected preterm pre-eclampsia
  6. Predictive accuracy of sFlt-1/PlGF ratio for preeclampsia and adverse outcomes: prospective, multicenter including primary, secondary, and tertiary care institutions, observational study in Japan | Hypertension Research
  7. Aspirin versus Placebo in Pregnancies at High Risk for Preterm Preeclampsia | New England Journal of Medicine
  8. PLGF-based testing to help diagnose suspected preterm pre-eclampsia
  9. Predictive accuracy of sFlt-1/PlGF ratio for preeclampsia and adverse outcomes: prospective, multicenter including primary, secondary, and tertiary care institutions, observational study in Japan | Hypertension Research
  10. Aspirin versus Placebo in Pregnancies at High Risk for Preterm Preeclampsia | New England Journal of Medicine

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