Gut Microbiota Predicts the Risk of Future COVID-19 Hospitalization and Mortality: Insights From the Population-Based HELIUS Study - Report - MDSpire

Gut Microbiota Predicts the Risk of Future COVID-19 Hospitalization and Mortality: Insights From the Population-Based HELIUS Study

  • By

  • Robert F J Kullberg

  • Brent Appelman

  • Henrike Galenkamp

  • Maria Prins

  • Bert-Jan van den Born

  • Max Nieuwdorp

  • Bastiaan W Haak

  • W Joost Wiersinga

  • October 31, 2025

  • 0 min

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Gut Microbiome Composition Predicts Severe COVID-19 Hospitalization and Mortality

Overview

In a large population-based cohort, gut microbiota composition was linked to the risk of future severe COVID-19 outcomes. Specifically, higher abundances of butyrate-producing bacteria were associated with a lower risk of COVID-19 hospitalization and mortality.

Background

Gut microbiota disruptions, particularly loss of anaerobic butyrate-producing bacteria, have been observed in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. It remains unclear whether these changes are a consequence of infection or contribute to susceptibility. Preclinical studies suggest butyrate enhances immune defenses against viral pneumonia. This study investigates if gut microbiota composition precedes and predicts severe COVID-19 in humans.

Data Highlights

ParameterFinding
Participants with gut microbiota sequenced5084
Severe COVID-19 cases (hospitalization or mortality)73
Association of butyrate-producing bacteria with severe COVID-19 riskHigher abundance linked to lower risk (significant in continuous and tertile analyses)
Gut microbiota diversityHigher diversity associated with reduced risk, but not significant after adjustment
Specific genera associated with riskEnterocloster increased risk; Oscillospirales decreased risk

Key Findings

  • Gut microbiota composition differs significantly between individuals who develop severe COVID-19 and those who do not.
  • Increased relative abundance of butyrate-producing bacteria correlates with a reduced risk of COVID-19 hospitalization and mortality.
  • Higher gut microbiota diversity is associated with lower severe COVID-19 risk, though this association is not significant after adjusting for confounders.
  • Enterocloster genus abundance is linked to increased risk of severe COVID-19.
  • Members of the Oscillospirales order, known butyrate producers, are associated with decreased risk of severe COVID-19.

Clinical Implications

Assessment of gut microbiota composition, particularly butyrate-producing bacteria levels, may help identify individuals at higher risk for severe COVID-19. Interventions aimed at preserving or restoring butyrate-producing gut bacteria could represent a novel preventive strategy against severe COVID-19 outcomes. These findings support further exploration of microbiome-targeted therapies in COVID-19 management.

Conclusion

Gut microbiota alterations, especially reduced butyrate-producing bacteria, precede severe COVID-19 and may influence susceptibility to hospitalization and mortality. Targeting the gut microbiome offers a promising avenue for COVID-19 prevention.

References

  1. HELIUS Study Group/2024 -- Gut Microbiome Composition as a Predictor of Future Hospitalization and Mortality Due to COVID-19

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