Return-to-performance in elite soccer players after Achilles tendon ruptures: a study using a weighted plus/minus metric and matched-control analysis - Report - MDSpire
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Performance Recovery in Elite Soccer Athletes Following Achilles Tendon Ruptures: An Analysis Utilizing a Weighted Plus/Minus Metric and Matched-Control Approach

  • By

  • Pedro Diniz

  • Diogo Lacerda

  • Bruno Mendes

  • Hélder Pereira

  • Frederico Castelo Ferreira

  • Gino M. M. J. Kerkhoffs

  • October 18, 2023

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Performance Recovery in Elite Soccer Players After Achilles Tendon Ruptures

Overview

This study analyzed elite soccer players who sustained Achilles tendon ruptures (ATRs) and returned to play within one year, comparing their performance to matched controls without ATRs using a weighted plus/minus (PM) metric. Findings indicate that ATRs significantly impact player performance and match participation in the first year post-injury, with some recovery observed thereafter.

Background

Achilles tendon ruptures are severe injuries that can drastically affect elite soccer players' careers, often resulting in decreased match participation and shortened playing longevity. Prior research has focused on return to play and generic performance markers, but a true individual performance metric has been lacking. Plus/minus metrics, commonly used in other sports, offer an objective way to quantify a player's net impact on match outcomes. This study leverages publicly available data from Transfermarkt.com to assess performance variations post-ATR using a weighted PM metric compared to matched controls.

Data Highlights

MetricATR GroupControl Group
Injury Absence >90 daysYes (inclusion criteria)No major time loss injuries
Return to Play within 1 yearIncludedNot applicable
Matched Controls per ATR Player16
Follow-up Duration24 months minimum24 months minimum
Match Participation IntervalsYear -1, Year 0, Year 1Same time intervals matched

Key Findings

  • Players with ATRs showed significant reductions in match participation and minutes played in the first year following injury compared to matched controls.
  • The weighted plus/minus metric revealed decreased individual performance post-ATR, indicating a negative net impact on match outcomes.
  • Match absences due to medical issues were notably higher in the ATR group during the first year post-injury.
  • Performance and participation metrics showed partial recovery in the second year post-injury but did not always return to pre-injury levels.
  • Psychological factors, persistent symptoms, and biomechanical changes likely contribute to prolonged performance deficits after ATR.

Clinical Implications

Clinicians and sports medicine professionals should recognize that elite soccer players sustaining ATRs may experience prolonged reductions in performance and match participation despite returning to play within a year. Rehabilitation programs should address not only physical recovery but also psychological and biomechanical factors to optimize return-to-performance. Monitoring using objective performance metrics like plus/minus scores can aid in tailoring individualized recovery plans.

Conclusion

Achilles tendon ruptures in elite soccer players lead to significant short-term declines in performance and match involvement, with some improvement over time. Utilizing weighted plus/minus metrics provides valuable insights into the nuanced impact of ATRs on player contributions beyond traditional statistics.

References

  1. Transfermarkt.com Injury Data and Analytics -- 2021
  2. Previous Studies on ATR Impact in Soccer -- Various

Original Source(s)

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