Clinical Report: Medicare Advantage Enrollment Trends and Updates for 2026
Overview
In 2026, over half of eligible Medicare beneficiaries are enrolled in Medicare Advantage, with significant growth in special needs plans. The increase in enrollment has implications for federal spending, projected to be an additional $76 billion this year.
Background
The Medicare Advantage program has seen a steady rise in enrollment over the past two decades, reflecting a shift in how beneficiaries choose to receive their Medicare benefits. Understanding these trends is crucial for policymakers as they navigate the financial implications and potential changes to payment structures for private plans.
Data Highlights
In 2026, 55% of eligible Medicare beneficiaries are enrolled in Medicare Advantage, totaling approximately 35 million individuals. Enrollment grew by about 1.1 million beneficiaries (3%) from 2025 to 2026.
Key Findings
55% of eligible Medicare beneficiaries are enrolled in Medicare Advantage in 2026.
23% of Medicare Advantage enrollees are in special needs plans (SNPs), with 85% of the net increase in enrollment from 2025 to 2026 occurring in SNPs.
78% of SNP enrollment is in plans for dually eligible individuals (D-SNPs), with chronic condition plans (C-SNPs) seeing a 45% increase in enrollment.
UnitedHealth Group and Humana account for nearly half of all Medicare Advantage enrollees, with Humana experiencing the largest growth in enrollment.
Enrollment in individual plans has decreased from 71% in 2010 to 61% in 2026, indicating a shift towards SNPs.
Clinical Implications
The increase in Medicare Advantage enrollment, particularly in SNPs, may affect the availability of supplemental benefits and the choices available to beneficiaries. Policymakers must consider these trends when evaluating payment structures and potential reforms.
Conclusion
The growth of Medicare Advantage enrollment highlights significant shifts in beneficiary preferences and poses challenges for federal spending. Ongoing monitoring of these trends will be essential for future policy decisions.