National trends in bone-metastatic prostate cancer mortality in the United States, 1999–2024: a multiple-cause-of-death analysis with projections to 2040 - Report - MDSpire

Trends in Mortality from Bone-Metastatic Prostate Cancer in the U.S. (1999–2024): A Multiple-Cause-of-Death Analysis with Projections Through 2040

  • By

  • Kanza Atif

  • Eshal Atif

  • Vishan Das

  • Alaa Eldeeb

  • Kaneez Fatima

  • Sadia Qazi

  • Aziz Abdullah

  • July 20, 2026

Share

Trends in Mortality from Bone-Metastatic Prostate Cancer in the U.S.

Background

Prostate cancer is a leading cause of cancer-related morbidity and mortality in men, with bone metastasis being a critical factor in disease progression and patient outcomes. Understanding mortality trends associated with bone metastasis is essential. The analysis highlights the importance of multiple-cause-of-death (MCOD) surveillance in capturing the true burden of advanced prostate cancer.

Data Highlights

YearAAMR (per 100,000)Change (%)
19991.10-
20061.10-5.57
20131.10+12.91
20242.12+93%
2040 (projected)3.65-

Key Findings

  • The overall AAMR for prostate cancer with bone metastasis rose 93% from 1999 to 2024.
  • Non-Hispanic Black men had a mean AAMR 64% higher than non-Hispanic White men.
  • Men aged 65–85+ had a 17-fold higher AAMR compared to those aged 45–64.
  • Conventional underlying-cause surveillance showed a declining trend, contrasting with MCOD findings.
  • The AAMR is projected to reach 3.65 per 100,000 by 2040.

Clinical Implications

The findings emphasize the need for enhanced surveillance and targeted interventions for populations at higher risk of mortality from bone-metastatic prostate cancer. Clinicians should consider the implications of these trends in managing prostate cancer and addressing disparities in care.

Conclusion

The analysis reveals an upward trend in mortality from bone-metastatic prostate cancer.

Related Resources & Content

  1. Author(s)/Org, Source, Year -- Title
  2. Author(s)/Org, Source, Year -- Title
  3. Author(s)/Org, Source, Year -- Title
  4. Author(s)/Org, Source, Year -- Title
  5. Author(s)/Org, Source, Year -- Title
  6. Author(s)/Org, Source, Year -- Title
  7. Author(s)/Org, Source, Year -- Title
  8. Author(s)/Org, Source, Year -- Title
  9. Author(s)/Org, Source, Year -- Title
  10. Author(s)/Org, Source, Year -- Title
  11. Author(s)/Org, Source, Year -- Title
  12. Author(s)/Org, Source, Year -- Title
  13. Author(s)/Org, Source, Year -- Title
  14. Advanced and metastatic prostate cancer: ESMO Clinical Practice Guideline for diagnosis, treatment and follow-up†
  15. https://d56bochluxqnz.cloudfront.net/documents/full-guideline/EAU-EANM-ESTRO-ESUR-ISUP-SIOG-Guidelines-on-Prostate-Cancer-2025_updated.pdf
  16. Germline and Somatic Genomic Testing for Metastatic Prostate Cancer: ASCO Guideline - PubMed
  17. Prostate Cancer, Version 3.2026, NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines In Oncology - PubMed
  18. FDA expands Pluvicto’s metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer indication | FDA
  19. Phase 3 AMPLITUDE trial: Niraparib (NIRA) and abiraterone acetate plus prednisone (AAP) for metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (mCSPC) patients (pts) with alterations in homologous recombination repair (HRR) genes. | Journal of Clinical Oncology
  20. Final overall survival results from EORTC 1333/PEACE-3 trial of enzalutamide plus radium-223 in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer - ScienceDirect
  21. Mortality Data Sources | U.S. Cancer Statistics | CDC
  22. Multiple Cause of Death 1999-2020

Original Source(s)

Related Content