Temporal trends and projected mortality of myocardial infarction and heart failure in the United States, 1999–2035: a CDC WONDER analysis - Report - MDSpire
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Temporal trends and projected mortality of myocardial infarction and heart failure in the United States, 1999–2035: a CDC WONDER analysis
Trends in Mortality Rates and Future Projections for Myocardial Infarction and Heart Failure
Overview
This study analyzes mortality trends related to myocardial infarction (MI) and heart failure (HF) in the U.S. from 1999 to 2024, projecting future rates through 2035. Significant demographic and geographic disparities persist, with higher mortality rates observed in men, non-Hispanic Black individuals, and rural populations.
Background
Myocardial infarction and heart failure are leading causes of cardiovascular mortality in the United States. Understanding mortality trends and projections is crucial for public health.
Data Highlights
Year
AAMR (per 100,000)
1999
15.32
2024
7.55
2035 (projected)
8.41
Key Findings
From 1999 to 2024, there were 552,835 MI- and HF-related deaths in the U.S.
The mean age-adjusted mortality rate (AAMR) declined from 15.32 in 1999 to 7.55 in 2024.
Mortality rates were higher in men (12.33) compared to women (7.87) per 100,000 population.
Non-Hispanic Black individuals had higher mortality rates (10.59) compared to non-Hispanic White (9.92) and Hispanic individuals (7.70).
The South had the highest regional mortality burden (10.52), while the Northeast had the lowest (8.34).
Adults aged ≥65 years had the highest mortality rates, with increasing rates observed in those aged 25–44 years after 2010.
Clinical Implications
The findings highlight the importance of monitoring MI and HF mortality trends among high-risk populations.
Conclusion
While there has been a significant decline in MI- and HF-related mortality from 1999 to 2024, disparities remain evident across demographics and regions.
by Muhammad Hussain Azam, Muhammad Hassan Azam, Divesh Sunil Sachdev, Hasibullah Aminpoor, Taha Ahmed, Talha Aamir, Muhammad Tayyab Azam, Nazila Dalir, Faizan Ahmed
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