Creation of a lipoprotein(a) model to forecast progression-free survival and severe adverse events in metastatic lung adenocarcinoma patients lacking driver genes and with PD-L1 TPS under 50% - Report - MDSpire

Creation of a lipoprotein(a) model to forecast progression-free survival and severe adverse events in metastatic lung adenocarcinoma patients lacking driver genes and with PD-L1 TPS under 50%

  • By

  • Sicong Li

  • Yiyuan Cui

  • Yijing Yan

  • Hao Li

  • Yue Jin

  • Yufan Chen

  • Jingjie Yu

  • Li Feng

  • April 24, 2026

  • 0 min

Share

Clinical Report: Lipoprotein(a) as a Prognostic Marker in Lung Adenocarcinoma

Overview

This study identifies serum lipoprotein(a) levels as a significant predictor of progression-free survival and severe adverse events in metastatic lung adenocarcinoma patients lacking driver genes and with PD-L1 TPS under 50%. A predictive model utilizing machine learning techniques was developed to enhance clinical decision-making.

Background

Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) is a subtype of non-small cell lung cancer with poor survival rates, particularly in patients lacking actionable driver mutations. The standard treatment for these patients involves chemoimmunotherapy, yet the efficacy can vary widely. Identifying reliable biomarkers, such as lipoprotein(a), is crucial for optimizing treatment strategies and improving patient outcomes.

Data Highlights

MetricTraining CohortValidation Cohort
AUC for 365-day PFS0.78 (0.62-0.94)0.95 (0.84-1.00)

Key Findings

  • High serum LPA levels independently predict disease progression in LUAD patients receiving first-line chemoimmunotherapy.
  • A total of 227 patients were followed in the study, with significant findings regarding LPA levels and patient outcomes.
  • AdaBoost was the most accurate machine learning method for predicting grade 3/4 adverse events.
  • The study highlights the importance of LPA as a potential biomarker for identifying patients less likely to benefit from initial treatment.
  • Models developed in this study may assist in clinical decision-making for metastatic LUAD patients.

Clinical Implications

Clinicians should consider serum lipoprotein(a) levels when evaluating metastatic LUAD patients for first-line chemoimmunotherapy. The predictive models developed in this study may aid in identifying patients at higher risk for disease progression and severe adverse events, allowing for more tailored treatment approaches.

Conclusion

The findings underscore the prognostic value of serum lipoprotein(a) in metastatic lung adenocarcinoma, suggesting its potential role in guiding treatment decisions and improving patient outcomes.

References

  1. Integration of Molecular Signatures from Tumor Deposits Using Machine Learning Enhances Prognostic Assessment in Colon Adenocarcinoma, 2025 -- Springer
  2. Development and external validation of FDG PET-CT-based models for predicting outcomes in anal squamous cell carcinoma prior to treatment, 2023 -- European Radiology
  3. Predictive Models for Outcomes With Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Treatment in Metastatic Melanoma, 2022 -- The ASCO Post
  4. Genetic modelling of triglyceride-rich lipoprotein/remnant lowering mimics APOC3 silencing and predicts clinically relevant coronary heart disease event reductions, 2023 -- European Journal of Preventive Cardiology
  5. Updated treatment recommendations for systemic treatment: from the ESMO non-oncogene-addicted metastatic NSCLC Living Guideline, 2023 -- PubMed
  6. KEYNOTE-189 5-years update: setting a backbone for the next generation clinical research in advanced non-squamous non-small cell lung cancer without oncogenic addiction, 2023 -- AME Clinical Trials Review
  7. Prognostic relevance of immune-related adverse events in lung cancer patients undergoing immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy: a systematic review and meta-analysis, 2023 -- PubMed
  8. Updated treatment recommendations for systemic treatment: from the ESMO non-oncogene-addicted metastatic NSCLC Living Guideline - PubMed
  9. KEYNOTE-189 5-years update: setting a backbone for the next generation clinical research in advanced non-squamous non-small cell lung cancer without oncogenic addiction - Merlini - AME Clinical Trials Review
  10. Prognostic relevance of immune-related adverse events in lung cancer patients undergoing immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy: a systematic review and meta-analysis - PubMed

Original Source(s)

Related Content