Explainable machine learning for hypertension prevalence classification: a cross-sectional study in Hainan Province, China - Report - MDSpire

Utilizing Explainable Machine Learning to Classify Hypertension Prevalence: A Cross-Sectional Analysis in Hainan Province, China

  • By

  • Yuewei Wu

  • Shan Huang

  • Miaomiao Qi

  • Yuanyuan Zhang

  • Mei Lu

  • Tianfa Li

  • Yueqiong Kong

  • July 17, 2026

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Clinical Report: Utilizing Explainable Machine Learning to Classify Hypertension Prevalence

Overview

This study employed explainable machine learning models to classify hypertension prevalence among 4,606 residents in Hainan Province, China. The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model demonstrated the highest performance with an AUC of 0.8461.

Background

Hypertension is a major public health concern, significantly contributing to cardiovascular disease and mortality worldwide. The prevalence of hypertension has been rising, particularly in China, where awareness and management remain low.

Data Highlights

MetricValue
Sample Size4,606
Hypertension Prevalence32.5%
Training Set Size3,224 (70%)
Validation Set Size1,382 (30%)
AUC of XGBoost Model0.8461

Key Findings

  • The study included 4,606 residents, with a hypertension prevalence of 32.5%.
  • The random forest algorithm identified the top 10 features influencing hypertension classification.
  • The XGBoost model achieved the highest classification performance with an AUC of 0.8461.
  • SHAP values were utilized to explain feature contributions to the model.
  • The LIME algorithm provided individual classification explanations, enhancing model interpretability.

Clinical Implications

The findings indicate that machine learning models, particularly XGBoost, can classify hypertension prevalence.

Conclusion

The development of an explainable machine learning model for hypertension classification demonstrates its potential for screening.

Related Resources & Content

  1. Frontiers in Digital Health, 2026 -- Explainable and interpretable models for predicting early-onset hypertension in the Tlalpan 2020 cohort
  2. conexiant, 2026 -- Can AI Predict Preterm Birth in Diabetic, Hypertensive Pregnancies?
  3. Frontiers in Medicine, 2026 -- Development and validation of a deep neural network for predicting coronary heart disease in hypertensive patients using 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure monitoring: a retrospective study
  4. 2025 High Blood Pressure (BP) Guideline - Professional Heart Daily | American Heart Association
  5. Clinical practice guideline for the management of hypertension in China - PMC
  6. Frontiers in Endocrinology — A clinically interpretable machine learning model for early detection of diabetic retinopathy in multiple community health centers
  7. 2025 High Blood Pressure (BP) Guideline - Professional Heart Daily | American Heart Association
  8. Clinical practice guideline for the management of hypertension in China - PMC
  9. Prevalence and treatment and control rates of hypertension among Chinese adults from 2016 to 2022: a meta-analysis | BMC Public Health | Springer Nature Link

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