Development and validation of a nomogram to predict symptomatic recurrence following laparoscopic adenomyomectomy - Report - MDSpire

Development and validation of a nomogram to predict symptomatic recurrence following laparoscopic adenomyomectomy

  • By

  • Yiwen Yao

  • Jilan Jiang

  • Jin Yu

  • Yeping Yang

  • Wenyu Li

  • Feng Sun

  • July 16, 2026

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Clinical Report: Creation and assessment of a nomogram for forecasting symptomatic recurrence post-laparoscopic adenomyomectomy

Overview

This study developed and validated a nomogram to predict symptomatic recurrence after laparoscopic adenomyomectomy in patients with adenomyosis. The nomogram demonstrated an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.776.

Background

Adenomyosis is a prevalent gynecologic condition affecting women of reproductive age. Uterine-sparing surgeries, such as laparoscopic adenomyomectomy, are alternatives for women seeking to preserve fertility, yet they carry a risk of symptomatic recurrence. Accurate prediction of recurrence is essential for guiding postoperative management.

Data Highlights

PredictorSignificance
Previous surgical history of ovarian endometriomaIndependent predictor
Preoperative CA125 levelIndependent predictor
Concomitant ovarian endometriomaIndependent predictor
Postoperative medication modalityIndependent predictor
Duration of postoperative therapyIndependent predictor

Key Findings

  • The nomogram was based on a cohort of 484 patients who underwent laparoscopic adenomyomectomy.
  • Symptomatic recurrence occurred in 131 patients, while 353 remained recurrence-free.
  • Independent predictors of recurrence included previous surgical history of ovarian endometrioma and preoperative CA125 level.
  • The nomogram achieved an AUC of 0.776, indicating good discriminatory ability.
  • Calibration curves demonstrated good performance, and decision curve analysis indicated high net benefit for predicted probabilities between 0% and 60%.

Clinical Implications

The nomogram provides a tool for estimating the risk of symptomatic recurrence in patients post-laparoscopic adenomyomectomy.

Conclusion

The developed nomogram offers a promising approach for predicting symptomatic recurrence after laparoscopic adenomyomectomy, though further multicenter validation is necessary to confirm its clinical utility.

Related Resources & Content

  1. Minimally Invasive Surgery May Reduce the Risk of Clinical Anastomotic Leakage: A Predictive Nomogram for Anterior Resection in Rectal Cancer, Springer, 2018 -- Title
  2. Development and validation of a nomogram based on LASSO regression for predicting early postoperative polyp recurrence in patients with chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps, Frontiers in Surgery, 2026 -- Title
  3. Forecasting Postoperative Complications After Transanal Total Mesorectal Excision in Middle and Low Rectal Cancer: Creation and Internal Validation of a Clinical Prediction Tool, Springer, 2024 -- Title
  4. Creation and assessment of a nomogram for forecasting early stress urinary incontinence after endoscopic prostate enucleation, Springer, 2021 -- Title
  5. Risk of Recurrence and Reintervention After Uterine-Sparing Interventions for Symptomatic Adenomyosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis, PMC -- Title
  6. ESHRE/ESGE/WES Good Practice Recommendations on Adenomyosis
  7. Risk of Recurrence and Reintervention After Uterine-Sparing Interventions for Symptomatic Adenomyosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis - PMC

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