A multimodal machine learning model for predicting postoperative worsening of FOGQ in Parkinson’s disease following STN-DBS - Report - MDSpire

A multimodal machine learning model for predicting postoperative worsening of FOGQ in Parkinson’s disease following STN-DBS

  • By

  • Min Xu

  • Shuhong Mei

  • Shuming Huang

  • Longyuan Gu

  • Yuting Zhang

  • Siyan Chen

  • Yuyao Tian

  • Li Du

  • Hui Zhao

  • Zixuan Zhang

  • Ruyi Chen

  • Guiyun Cui

  • Wei Zhang

  • Jie Zu

  • May 5, 2026

  • 0 min

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Clinical Report: Machine Learning to Predict FOGQ Deterioration in PD Post-STN-DBS

Overview

A multimodal machine learning model was developed to predict postoperative worsening of FOGQ scores in Parkinson’s disease patients undergoing STN-DBS. The LightGBM model demonstrated high predictive accuracy, achieving an AUC of 0.917, emphasizing the importance of integrating clinical and neuroimaging data.

Background

Parkinson’s disease (PD) is a prevalent neurodegenerative disorder characterized by debilitating symptoms, including freezing of gait (FOG), which significantly impacts patient quality of life. Accurate prediction of postoperative outcomes, particularly FOG, is crucial for optimizing patient selection for STN-DBS. This study addresses the urgent need for reliable predictive models to enhance preoperative risk stratification.

Data Highlights

This study analyzed data from 134 patients with PD who underwent bilateral STN-DBS, utilizing a multimodal approach that included clinical assessments, neuroimaging features, and radiomics.

Key Findings

  • The LightGBM model achieved an AUC of 0.917 for predicting postoperative FOGQ deterioration.
  • Integration of clinical, structural, and radiomic features significantly enhanced predictive accuracy.
  • Feature selection methods included LASSO, Boruta, and RFECV to identify relevant predictors.
  • Model performance was validated using ROC curves and calibration curves.
  • SHAP values were used to analyze model interpretability.

Clinical Implications

The findings suggest that a multimodal machine learning approach can improve preoperative risk assessment for patients undergoing STN-DBS. Clinicians should consider integrating diverse data modalities to better predict postoperative outcomes and tailor treatment plans accordingly.

Conclusion

This study highlights the potential of machine learning models in enhancing the prediction of postoperative FOGQ deterioration in PD patients, underscoring the need for further external validation in multicenter cohorts.

References

  1. Evaluating the Role of Diffusion Tensor Imaging and Generalized Q-Sampling Imaging in Forecasting Short-Term Outcomes of Deep Brain Stimulation for Parkinson’s Disease, 2024
  2. Electrophysiological signatures predict the therapeutic window of deep brain stimulation electrode contacts, npj Digital Medicine, 2025
  3. Determinants of the Consistency of Intraoperative Assessments in Deep Brain Stimulation for Parkinson's Disease, 2023
  4. The Relationship Between Motor Function, Cortical Oscillatory Activity, and Deep Brain Stimulation in Parkinson’s Disease, Brain, 2025
  5. Consensus expert recommendations for referral of Parkinson’s disease patients for deep brain stimulation surgery, npj Parkinson's Disease, 2025
  6. Gait and balance worsening after bilateral deep brain stimulation of the subthalamic nucleus (STN-DBS) for Parkinson’s disease: a systematic review, PMC, 2025
  7. Efficacy of subthalamic deep brain stimulation programming strategies for gait disorders in Parkinson's disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis, PubMed, 2024
  8. Consensus expert recommendations for referral of Parkinson’s disease patients for deep brain stimulation surgery | npj Parkinson's Disease
  9. Gait and balance worsening after bilateral deep brain stimulation of the subthalamic nucleus (STN-DBS) for Parkinson’s disease: a systematic review - PMC
  10. Efficacy of subthalamic deep brain stimulation programming strategies for gait disorders in Parkinson's disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis - PubMed

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