Machine learning-based nomogram for non-suicidal self-injury among depressed adolescents: a multicentre study - Report - MDSpire

Development of a Machine Learning Nomogram to Assess Non-Suicidal Self-Injury Risk in Depressed Adolescents: A Multicenter Analysis

  • By

  • Lan Hong

  • Jianuo Shi

  • Qianjin Lou

  • Ying Yao

  • Tianshu Peng

  • Zhen Xu

  • Jinwei Gai

  • Zhaoxuan Liu

  • Siyu Tong

  • Tiansheng Zheng

  • Dongwu Xu

  • Ke Zhao

  • July 17, 2026

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Clinical Report: Development of a Machine Learning Nomogram for NSSI Risk

Overview

This study developed and validated a nomogram to estimate the risk of non-suicidal self-injury (NSSI) in adolescents with depression using data from a multicenter cohort. The nomogram incorporates eight key variables.

Background

Non-suicidal self-injury (NSSI) is a significant concern among adolescents with depression, often linked to severe mental health issues and increased suicide risk. Current tools for assessing NSSI risk are limited. This study creates a machine learning-based nomogram to aid clinicians in evaluating NSSI risk.

Data Highlights

VariableImportance
Depression ScoreHigh
Sleep Medication UseModerate
Difficulty Identifying FeelingsHigh
AgeModerate
Perceived Family SupportModerate
Gender (Female)High
HallucinationHigh
Externally Oriented ThinkingModerate

Key Findings

  • The nomogram integrates eight clinical and psychosocial variables to estimate NSSI risk.
  • AUC values for the nomogram were 0.754 in the training cohort and 0.748 in the validation cohort.
  • Variables identified include depression score, sleep medication use, and perceived family support.
  • The model was validated using calibration curves and decision curve analysis.
  • Over 80% of individuals engaging in NSSI have comorbid mental disorders.

Clinical Implications

The developed nomogram provides a structured approach for clinicians to assess NSSI risk in adolescents with depression.

Conclusion

The study presents a validated nomogram that can assist healthcare professionals in estimating NSSI risk among depressed adolescents.

Related Resources & Content

  1. Frontiers in Psychiatry, 2026 -- Development and validation of a machine learning–based risk prediction model for non-suicidal self-injury in adolescents
  2. BMC Psychiatry, 2025 -- Integrated nomogram for predicting adolescent depression: psychological, familial, and social risk factors
  3. BMC Psychiatry, 2025 -- Creation and assessment of nomograms for forecasting depression and suicidal thoughts among stroke survivors: findings from a community-based investigation
  4. BMC Psychiatry, 2025 -- Utilizing machine learning to assess depression risk: uncovering familial, individual, and nutritional factors
  5. NICE, 2025 -- Self-harm: assessment, management and preventing recurrence
  6. Frontiers, 2026 -- Can machine learning predict non-suicidal self-injury? A systematic review and meta-analysis
  7. Molecular Psychiatry, 2026 -- What are the correlates of non-suicidal self-injury in children and adolescents? An umbrella systematic review of global evidence
  8. Self-harm: assessment, management and preventing recurrence
  9. Frontiers | Can machine learning predict non-suicidal self-injury? A systematic review and meta-analysis
  10. What are the correlates of non-suicidal self-injury in children and adolescents? An umbrella systematic review of global evidence | Molecular Psychiatry

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