Prognostic value of initial recurrence pattern for post-recurrence survival in locally advanced rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery - Report - MDSpire

Prognostic value of initial recurrence pattern for post-recurrence survival in locally advanced rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery

  • By

  • Chunkang Liu

  • Jiaolin Zhou

  • Waiting Lam

  • Chentong Wang

  • Junyang Lu

  • Guole Lin

  • June 30, 2026

  • 0 min

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Clinical Report: Initial Recurrence Patterns as Prognostic Indicators for Survival

Overview

This study evaluates the prognostic value of initial recurrence patterns on post-recurrence survival (PRS) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery.

Background

Locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) poses significant management challenges due to high recurrence rates despite advances in treatment. This study aims to clarify the prognostic significance of initial recurrence patterns in LARC patients.

Data Highlights

FindingValue
Patients analyzed437
Recurrence-free patients347
Patients with preoperative metastasis28
Patients with postoperative recurrence62
HR for pTD positivity2.37
HR for ypTNM stage II–III1.923

Key Findings

  • Initial recurrence patterns significantly influence post-recurrence survival (PRS).
  • Complex recurrence is associated with poorer PRS compared to isolated lung metastasis.
  • Isolated liver metastasis shows an intermediate prognosis.
  • Pathological tumor deposit (pTD) positivity and ypTNM stage II–III are linked to shorter recurrence-free survival (RFS).
  • Recurrence within 2 years post-surgery correlates with lower subsequent overall survival (OS).

Clinical Implications

The findings indicate that initial recurrence patterns can aid in predicting post-recurrence survival in LARC patients.

Conclusion

Initial postoperative recurrence patterns are critical prognostic indicators for survival in LARC patients.

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  5. Management of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer: ASCO Guideline | Journal of Clinical Oncology
  6. Locoregional Failure During and After Short-course Radiotherapy Followed by Chemotherapy and Surgery Compared With Long-course Chemoradiotherapy and Surgery: A 5-Year Follow-up of the RAPIDO Trial - PMC
  7. Risk and location of distant metastases in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer after total neoadjuvant treatment or chemoradiotherapy in the RAPIDO trial - PubMed
  8. Management of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer: ASCO Guideline | Journal of Clinical Oncology
  9. Locoregional Failure During and After Short-course Radiotherapy Followed by Chemotherapy and Surgery Compared With Long-course Chemoradiotherapy and Surgery: A 5-Year Follow-up of the RAPIDO Trial - PMC
  10. Risk and location of distant metastases in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer after total neoadjuvant treatment or chemoradiotherapy in the RAPIDO trial - PubMed

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