A nomogram integrating machine learning with clinical predictors for osteosarcopenia risk prediction in type 2 diabetes mellitus - Report - MDSpire

A nomogram integrating machine learning with clinical predictors for osteosarcopenia risk prediction in type 2 diabetes mellitus

  • By

  • Dan Liang

  • Zhenrun Zhan

  • Yongze Zhang

  • Sunjie Yan

  • July 15, 2026

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Clinical Report: A Machine Learning-Enhanced Nomogram for Assessing Osteosarcopenia Risk

Overview

This study developed and validated a nomogram for predicting osteosarcopenia risk in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) aged 40 years and older. The nomogram achieved AUCs of 0.864 in the test cohort and 0.904 in the validation cohort.

Background

Osteosarcopenia, characterized by concurrent bone loss and muscle wasting, is a concern for patients with T2DM, impacting their quality of life and increasing the risk of fractures and falls. The prevalence of osteosarcopenia is high among older adults with T2DM.

Data Highlights

PredictorOdds Ratio (OR)95% Confidence Interval (CI)
BMI0.560.53–0.59
WHtR1.471.28–1.69

Key Findings

  • The nomogram includes eight independent predictors: gender, age, BMI, WHtR, fracture history, diabetic foot ulcer, smoking status, and diabetic kidney disease.
  • The nomogram achieved AUCs of 0.864 in the test cohort and 0.904 in the validation cohort.
  • Calibration and decision curve analysis indicated favorable performance of the nomogram.

Clinical Implications

The nomogram provides a tool for assessing osteosarcopenia risk in T2DM patients aged 40 years and older.

Conclusion

The developed nomogram demonstrates predictive capabilities for osteosarcopenia risk in T2DM patients.

Related Resources & Content

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  2. Frontiers in Endocrinology, 2026 -- Development and validation of a nomogram model for predicting cardiac autonomic neuropathy in patients with diabetes
  3. Frontiers in Neurology, 2026 -- Analysis of factors influencing diabetic peripheral neuropathy in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and construction of a nomogram prediction model
  4. Health outcomes of sarcopenia: a consensus report by the outcome working group of the Global Leadership Initiative in Sarcopenia (GLIS) - PMC
  5. Sarcopenia in type 2 Diabetes mellitus among Asian populations: prevalence and risk factors based on AWGS- 2019: a systematic review and meta-analysis | BMC Endocrine Disorders | Springer Nature Link
  6. Comprehensive Medical Evaluation and Assessment of Comorbidities: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2025 - PMC
  7. Frontiers in Medicine — Development and validation of a nomogram predicting osteoporosis risk in rheumatoid arthritis
  8. Health outcomes of sarcopenia: a consensus report by the outcome working group of the Global Leadership Initiative in Sarcopenia (GLIS) - PMC
  9. Sarcopenia in type 2 Diabetes mellitus among Asian populations: prevalence and risk factors based on AWGS- 2019: a systematic review and meta-analysis | BMC Endocrine Disorders | Springer Nature Link
  10. 4. Comprehensive Medical Evaluation and Assessment of Comorbidities: Standards of Care in Diabetes—2025 - PMC

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