Identification of cardiovascular disease in patients with kidney stone disease using explainable machine learning - Report - MDSpire

Identification of cardiovascular disease in patients with kidney stone disease using explainable machine learning

  • By

  • Qinglong Yang

  • Nan Luo

  • Hanyuan Lin

  • Haolin Chen

  • Haoxian Tang

  • Jingtao Huang

  • Xuan Zhang

  • Wenqiang Liao

  • Yuxue Lin

  • Zexuan Liu

  • Xuxia Sui

  • Qingtao Yang

  • Gaoming Hou

  • May 29, 2026

  • 0 min

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Clinical Report: Utilizing Explainable Machine Learning to Detect CVD in Kidney Stone Patients

Overview

This study establishes a significant association between kidney stone disease and cardiovascular disease (CVD), demonstrating a 47% increased risk of CVD in patients with kidney stones. It also introduces a logistic regression model that effectively identifies prevalent CVD in this population using machine learning techniques.

Background

Kidney stone disease is a prevalent condition that poses a substantial risk for cardiovascular disease, which remains a leading cause of mortality worldwide. Understanding the relationship between these two conditions is crucial for improving patient outcomes and guiding preventive strategies. Current CVD risk assessment tools are inadequate for patients with kidney stones, highlighting the need for tailored predictive models.

Data Highlights

MetricValue
Odds Ratio for CVD in Kidney Stone Patients1.47 (95% CI: 1.20–1.80)
Area Under ROC Curve0.801
Sensitivity0.721
Specificity0.771
Accuracy0.759
Brier Score0.169

Key Findings

  • Kidney stones are associated with a 47% increased risk of CVD.
  • The logistic regression model achieved an area under the ROC curve of 0.801.
  • Sensitivity and specificity of the model were 72.1% and 77.1%, respectively.
  • SHAP analysis identified 15 important predictors for CVD in kidney stone patients.
  • Current CVD risk assessment tools are not tailored for kidney stone patients.
  • Machine learning can enhance CVD risk prediction in specific populations.

Clinical Implications

Healthcare professionals should consider the increased cardiovascular risk in patients with kidney stone disease when assessing overall health. Implementing machine learning models could improve early identification and management of CVD in this population, facilitating targeted interventions.

Conclusion

The findings underscore the importance of recognizing kidney stone disease as a significant risk factor for cardiovascular disease, advocating for the integration of machine learning tools in clinical practice to enhance risk assessment.

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  8. Kidney stone disease: risk factors, pathophysiology and management | Nature Reviews Nephrology
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