Predicting pain outcomes after digital care in chronic spinal pain: the roles of disability, work impairment, and occupation in a secondary analysis of a prospective clinical study - Report - MDSpire

Predicting pain outcomes after digital care in chronic spinal pain: the roles of disability, work impairment, and occupation in a secondary analysis of a prospective clinical study

  • By

  • Dora Janela

  • Xin Tong

  • Diogo Pires

  • Hélder Fonseca

  • Fabíola Costa

  • February 2, 2026

  • 0 min

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Predicting Pain Outcomes After Digital Care for Chronic Spinal Pain

Overview

This study analyzed 13,330 adults with chronic spinal pain undergoing a digital care program (DCP) to identify predictors of post-treatment pain outcomes. Baseline disability and job type significantly influenced pain levels after treatment, while work impairment did not. These findings were consistent across neck and low back pain patients.

Background

Chronic spinal pain is a leading cause of disability and productivity loss globally, with substantial healthcare and indirect costs. Multimodal rehabilitation is the first-line treatment, but patient responses vary widely. Digital care programs offer scalable, accessible treatment options, yet predictors of outcomes in digital settings remain underexplored. Understanding factors such as disability, work impairment, and occupation can enhance personalized care and prognosis.

Data Highlights

PredictorEffect on Last Pain Score (β)Standard ErrorP-value
Baseline Disability0.300.02<.001
Business Occupations vs Goods-Producing-0.180.070.015
Business Occupations vs Healthcare/Education-0.140.040.001
Work Impairment (WPAI Overall and Activity)Not significant

Key Findings

  • Higher baseline disability scores predicted higher pain levels after digital treatment (β=0.30, P<.001).
  • Occupation type influenced outcomes: business-related jobs had higher pain scores compared to goods-producing and healthcare/education jobs.
  • Work impairment measures (WPAI Overall and Activity) were not significant predictors after adjusting for covariates.
  • Predictor effects were consistent regardless of pain location (neck vs low back).
  • The final predictive model explained 21.3% of the variance in post-treatment pain scores.

Clinical Implications

Incorporating baseline disability and occupation type into routine screening can improve prediction of pain outcomes following digital rehabilitation for chronic spinal pain. This enables clinicians to better tailor treatment plans and manage patient expectations. Work impairment measures may be less useful as prognostic tools in this context.

Conclusion

Baseline disability and job type are important predictors of pain outcomes after digital care for chronic spinal pain, while work impairment is not. Integrating these factors into clinical workflows may enhance personalized rehabilitation strategies.

References

  1. ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05417685 -- Forecasting Pain Outcomes Following Digital Treatment for Chronic Spinal Pain

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