The value of cervical length changes for the prediction of preterm birth with normal mid-trimester cervical length; a prospective longitudinal study - Report - MDSpire

The value of cervical length changes for the prediction of preterm birth with normal mid-trimester cervical length; a prospective longitudinal study

  • By

  • Sebile Guler Cekic

  • Ceren Unal

  • Can Benlioglu

  • M. Atay Ozten

  • Mert Turgal

  • Ebru Celik

  • June 30, 2026

  • 0 min

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Clinical Report: Cervical Length Variations and Preterm Birth Risk

Overview

This study evaluates the predictive significance of cervical length (CL) variations for spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB) risk in women with normal mid-trimester measurements. The overall rate of sPTB was 8.00% in the low-risk cohort and 30.6% in the short cervix cohort (p<0.001).

Background

Spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB) is a leading cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality. Mid-trimester cervical length measurement is a recognized tool for predicting sPTB, but its predictive value may be limited in women with normal measurements. Understanding the dynamics of cervical length changes could refine risk stratification.

Data Highlights

CohortRate of sPTBC1 (mm)C2 (mm)ΔCx (mm)Cervical Slope
Low-risk8.00%35.74 ± 4.6137.44 ± 5.501.69 ± 7.19Not associated
Short cervix30.6%30.31 ± 5.5121.61 ± 6.55–0.99 ± 1.00More negative

Key Findings

  • Overall sPTB rate was 8.00% in the low-risk cohort and 30.6% in the short cervix cohort (p<0.001).
  • No significant differences in C1, C2, ΔCx, or cervical slope between term and preterm pregnancies in the low-risk cohort (p > 0.05).
  • Cervical slope did not improve prediction of sPTB beyond second-trimester measurements and maternal characteristics.
  • Short cervix cohort exhibited significantly shorter C1 and C2 measurements compared to the low-risk cohort (p < 0.001).
  • PPROM was more frequent in the low-risk cohort among preterm births (12.7% vs. 43.1%, p < 0.001).
  • Cervical slope was associated with PPROM (p = 0.030).

Clinical Implications

Longitudinal cervical length assessment may not provide additional predictive value for sPTB in women with normal mid-trimester measurements.

Conclusion

In women with a normal mid-trimester cervix, longitudinal changes in cervical length do not enhance the prediction of spontaneous preterm birth.

Related Resources & Content

  1. Frontiers in Medicine, 2026 -- Cervical strain elastography improves mid-trimester prediction of spontaneous preterm birth beyond cervical length: a single-center cohort study
  2. BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth, 2026 -- Value of serial transperineal ultrasound measurements of cervical length in predicting gestational age at preterm birth in women with twin pregnancies: a retrospective cohort study
  3. BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth, 2026 -- Risk factors for preterm birth and prolonged pregnancy following cervical cerclage in women with cervical insufficiency: a retrospective analysis and predictive model
  4. SMFM Consult Series #70, 2024 -- Management of short cervix in individuals without a history of spontaneous preterm birth
  5. Frontiers in Medicine — Development and validation of a predictive model for forceps delivery risk in term singleton primiparas for early identification and labor management optimization
  6. Second‐trimester transvaginal ultrasound measurement of cervical length for prediction of preterm birth: a blinded prospective multicentre diagnostic accuracy study
  7. SMFM Consult Series #70: Management of short cervix in individuals without a history of spontaneous preterm birth - ScienceDirect
  8. Frontiers | Effects of vaginal progesterone and placebo on preterm birth and antenatal outcomes in women with singleton pregnancies and short cervix on ultrasound: a meta-analysis

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