Effectiveness and Durability of the BNT162b2 KP.2 Vaccine Against COVID-19 Hospitalization and Emergency Department or Urgent Care Encounters in US Adults - Report - MDSpire

Effectiveness and Durability of the BNT162b2 KP.2 Vaccine Against COVID-19 Hospitalization and Emergency Department or Urgent Care Encounters in US Adults

  • By

  • Sara Y Tartof

  • Timothy B Frankland

  • Jeff M Slezak

  • Bradley K Ackerson

  • Laura Puzniak

  • January 15, 2026

  • 0 min

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Efficacy and Durability of BNT162b2 KP.2 Vaccine Against COVID-19 Hospitalizations

Overview

The BNT162b2 KP.2 vaccine demonstrated 49% effectiveness against COVID-19 hospital admissions and 45% against emergency department/urgent care visits within 3 months of vaccination. Protection persisted beyond 90 days with some waning, and effectiveness remained consistent regardless of prior COVID-19 vaccination and in older adults.

Background

In response to the predominant SARS-CoV-2 KP.2 sublineage, the FDA authorized the updated BNT162b2 KP.2 vaccine for individuals aged 6 months and older in 2024. Understanding vaccine effectiveness (VE) and durability is critical to inform vaccination policies. This study evaluated VE against COVID-19 hospitalizations and emergency care visits among adults in a large integrated health system during the 2024–2025 respiratory season.

Data Highlights

OutcomeVE <3 months (95% CI)VE ≥3 months (95% CI)
Hospital Admission49% (30–63)35% (8–54)
ED/Urgent Care Visits45% (35–54)26% (12–38)

Key Findings

  • BNT162b2 KP.2 vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 hospital admissions was 49% within 3 months post-vaccination, decreasing to 35% after 3 months.
  • Effectiveness against emergency department or urgent care visits was 45% within 3 months, waning to 26% after 3 months.
  • VE remained high regardless of prior COVID-19 vaccination history.
  • Older adults (≥65 years) showed similar VE and waning patterns as younger adults.
  • Protection persisted beyond 90 days, indicating durability despite some decline.
  • COVID-19 hospitalizations peaked in December 2024 and January 2025, underscoring ongoing public health burden.

Clinical Implications

The BNT162b2 KP.2 vaccine provides meaningful protection against severe COVID-19 outcomes and emergency care visits, supporting its use in adult populations including older adults. Given the observed waning beyond 3 months, timely booster doses may be considered to maintain protection. Efforts to increase vaccine uptake, especially among those receiving influenza vaccines, could optimize respiratory season preparedness.

Conclusion

The BNT162b2 KP.2 vaccine offers durable protection against COVID-19 hospitalizations and emergency care visits with some waning over time, reinforcing its role in current vaccination strategies for adults.

References

  1. Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices 2024 -- Updated COVID-19 Vaccination Recommendations
  2. FDA 2024 -- Authorization of KP.2 Monovalent mRNA COVID-19 Vaccine
  3. Kaiser Permanente Southern California Study 2024–2025 -- Vaccine Effectiveness Evaluation

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