Machine learning and conventional Cox regression to predict target-lesion revascularization after percutaneous coronary intervention - Report - MDSpire

Machine learning and conventional Cox regression to predict target-lesion revascularization after percutaneous coronary intervention

  • By

  • Mona El-Faramawi

  • Marco Busco

  • Sören Möller

  • Lisette Okkels Jensen

  • Jens Flensted Lassen

  • July 1, 2026

  • 0 min

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Clinical Report: Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Techniques and Traditional Cox Regression for Predicting Target-Lesion Revascularization Following Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

Overview

This study compares machine learning-based Cox-LASSO with traditional Cox regression for predicting target-lesion revascularization (TLR) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The findings indicate that while Cox-LASSO shows a slight improvement in short-term predictive performance.

Background

Target-lesion revascularization (TLR) remains a significant concern following PCI, despite advancements in treatment. Accurate prediction of TLR risk is crucial for optimizing patient management and improving outcomes. Traditional Cox regression models have been widely used, but machine learning approaches like Cox-LASSO may offer enhanced predictive capabilities.

Data Highlights

Model0-1 Years C-index1-5 Years C-index
Full Cox0.6743-
Stepwise Cox0.67430.6831
Cox-LASSO0.67740.6818

Key Findings

  • Full Cox and stepwise Cox models performed equally at 0-1 years (C-index 0.6743).
  • Cox-LASSO showed a minor improvement in predictive performance for short-term TLR (C-index 0.6774).
  • Stepwise Cox had the best predictive performance at 1-5 years (C-index 0.6831).
  • Most identified risk factors for TLR were consistent across both Cox models and Cox-LASSO.
  • Survival curves demonstrated separation between high- and low-risk lesions in all models.

Clinical Implications

The findings indicate that machine learning models like Cox-LASSO may enhance predictive capabilities.

Conclusion

The study concludes that machine learning-based Cox-LASSO does not improve predictive performance over conventional Cox regression models for TLR.

Related Resources & Content

  1. Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine, 2026 -- Multicenter development and validation of machine-learning risk models to predict procedural complete revascularization and in-hospital heart failure in STEMI patients treated with primary PCI
  2. Critical Care (Springer), 2025 -- Machine learning models for predicting limb ischemia during VA-ECMO: an analysis of the Chinese extracorporeal life support registry
  3. conexiant, 2023 -- Coronary Model Shows Limits in Cath-Referred Patients
  4. Frontiers in Neurology, 2026 -- Machine learning-based prediction of ischemic cardio-cerebrovascular events after endovascular or microsurgical treatment of unruptured intracranial aneurysms and risk stratification by the early post-treatment triglyceride-glucose index
  5. 2025 Guideline for Acute Coronary Syndromes - Professional Heart Daily | American Heart Association
  6. Frontiers, 2026 -- Comparative effectiveness and outcomes of physiology- and imaging-guided PCI: an evidence synthesis and network meta-analysis of FFR, iFR, OCT, and IVUS
  7. Comparison of machine learning models with conventional statistical methods for prediction of percutaneous coronary intervention outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis - PMC
  8. 2025 Guideline for Acute Coronary Syndromes - Professional Heart Daily | American Heart Association
  9. Frontiers | Comparative effectiveness and outcomes of physiology- and imaging-guided PCI: an evidence synthesis and network meta-analysis of FFR, iFR, OCT, and IVUS
  10. Comparison of machine learning models with conventional statistical methods for prediction of percutaneous coronary intervention outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis - PMC

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