Development and internal validation of a radiomics-clinical combined model for predicting axillary pathological complete response in clinically node-positive breast cancer patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy - Report - MDSpire

Development and internal validation of a radiomics-clinical combined model for predicting axillary pathological complete response in clinically node-positive breast cancer patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy

  • By

  • Weitao Yan

  • Wenxuan Lu

  • Ying Dai

  • Xiangchao Meng

  • Kai Feng

  • July 10, 2026

  • 0 min

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Clinical Report: Combined Radiomics-Clinical Model for Axillary Response in Breast Cancer

Overview

This study developed and validated a combined radiomics-clinical model to predict axillary pathological complete response (apCR) in clinically node-positive breast cancer patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy. The model achieved a validation AUC of 0.703 (95% CI, 0.610–0.792).

Background

Accurate prediction of apCR in clinically node-positive breast cancer patients is crucial for guiding surgical decisions. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy is standard for these patients, yet the ability to predict outcomes remains limited.

Data Highlights

MetricValue
Overall apCR Rate43.5% (168/386)
Validation AUC of Combined Model0.703 (95% CI, 0.610–0.792)
Optimism-Corrected Training AUC0.742

Key Findings

  • The combined model included tumor size, HER2 status, Ki-67, breast clinical complete response, and Rad-score.
  • The combined model outperformed the radiomics-only model (ΔAUC = 0.094, P = 0.004).
  • The combined model did not significantly outperform the clinical-only model (ΔAUC = 0.020, P = 0.713).
  • The calibration slope of the combined model was 0.811.
  • Risk stratification showed apCR rates of 18.8% (low), 48.0% (intermediate), and 58.8% (high).

Clinical Implications

The combined model may assist in identifying patients who achieve apCR. However, its current misclassification rate limits direct clinical application.

Conclusion

The combined radiomics-clinical model requires external validation before clinical implementation.

Related Resources & Content

  1. European Radiology, 2025 -- Assessing Residual Axillary Disease Following Neoadjuvant Therapy in Breast Cancer Through Initial MRI and Ultrasound Evaluations
  2. Frontiers in Oncology, 2026 -- MRI-based habitat radiomics for preoperative prediction of axillary pathological complete response in breast cancer after neoadjuvant therapy: a multicenter study
  3. Frontiers in Endocrinology, 2026 -- A multimodal ultrasound-based model combining tumor radiomics and axillary lymph node morphologic classification for predicting axillary nodal burden in breast cancer
  4. European Radiology, 2025 -- Assessment of Primary Tumour Changes on Breast MRI as an Indicator of Axillary Pathological Response in Patients Undergoing Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Breast Cancer
  5. NCCN Guidelines® Insights: Breast Cancer, Version 5.2025 - PubMed
  6. Sentinel-lymph-node biopsy in patients with breast cancer before and after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (SENTINA): a prospective, multicentre cohort study - PubMed
  7. Resource Guide on Axillary Management for Patients With In-Situ and Invasive Breast Cancer: A Concise Overview
  8. NCCN Guidelines® Insights: Breast Cancer, Version 5.2025 - PubMed
  9. Sentinel-lymph-node biopsy in patients with breast cancer before and after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (SENTINA): a prospective, multicentre cohort study - PubMed
  10. Resource Guide on Axillary Management for Patients With In-Situ and Invasive Breast Cancer: A Concise Overview

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