A prediction for sepsis in adult patients with severe cerebrovascular disease from neurological intensive care unit - Report - MDSpire

A prediction for sepsis in adult patients with severe cerebrovascular disease from neurological intensive care unit

  • By

  • Haiyang Sun

  • Shuyun Sun

  • Yan Huang

  • Jingbo Sun

  • Chuanchuan Yu

  • Lixin Wang

  • Xiao Cheng

  • July 7, 2026

  • 0 min

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Clinical Report: Forecasting Sepsis in Adults with Severe Cerebrovascular Disorders

Overview

This study evaluates the diagnostic performance of blood biomarkers for early sepsis diagnosis in ICU patients with acute moderate to severe stroke. A prediction model was developed, achieving an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.816.

Background

Sepsis is a leading cause of mortality in neurological intensive care unit (NICU) patients, particularly those with severe cerebrovascular disorders. Early identification of sepsis is crucial, as infections can significantly impact recovery and survival rates. The study aims to identify effective biomarkers that can aid in the timely diagnosis of sepsis in this vulnerable population.

Data Highlights

The prevalence of sepsis in acute moderate-to-severe stroke patients was found to be 12.1%. The prediction model identified four significant variables: Hyperlipidaemia (P < 0.001), IL-10 (P < 0.001), NIHSS (P = 0.015), and Blood creatinine (P < 0.001). The model's AUC was 0.816 (95% CI: 0.721 ~ 0.911).

Key Findings

  • The prevalence of sepsis in the studied population was 12.1%.
  • Patients with sepsis had lower GCS scores and higher NIHSS scores compared to those without sepsis.
  • Four variables were identified as significant predictors of sepsis: Hyperlipidaemia, IL-10, NIHSS, and Blood creatinine.
  • The prediction model demonstrated good calibration and discrimination with an AUC of 0.816.

Clinical Implications

The identification of specific blood biomarkers can aid in the early diagnosis of sepsis in patients with severe cerebrovascular disorders.

Conclusion

The study developed a prediction model for sepsis in acute moderate-to-severe stroke patients, highlighting the importance of specific biomarkers in early diagnosis.

Related Resources & Content

  1. Frontiers in Medicine, 2026 -- Development and external validation of a 90-day mortality prediction model for comatose sepsis patients: impact of cerebrovascular disease and dementia
  2. JMIR Medical Informatics, 2026 -- Online Sepsis Prediction Using Vital Signs and Multiscale Temporal-Aware Contrastive Learning: Model Development and Validation Study
  3. Frontiers in Medicine, 2026 -- The vasoactive-age adjusted sepsis-induced coagulopathy score predicts 28-day new-onset multiple organ dysfunction syndrome in patients with sepsis: a single-centre retrospective cohort study
  4. Surviving Sepsis Campaign Adult Guidelines | SCCM
  5. Defining Age-Specific Secondary Insult Thresholds and Target Physiological Levels in Neurointensive Care for Elderly Patients with Traumatic Brain Injury
  6. Prevalence, early predictors, and outcomes of sepsis in neurocritical illnesses: A prospective cohort study
  7. Surviving Sepsis Campaign Adult Guidelines | SCCM
  8. Diagnostic accuracy of pancreatic stone protein in patients with sepsis: a systematic review and meta-analysis - PMC

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