Mechanistic constraints in dengue severity: a systematic review with evidence stratification and agent-based evaluation of logical sufficiency - Scorecard - MDSpire

Mechanistic constraints in dengue severity: a systematic review with evidence stratification and agent-based evaluation of logical sufficiency

  • By

  • Roberto Navarro Quiroz

  • Katherine Escorcia Lindo

  • Andrea Jaruffe Pinilla

  • Yiris Diaz-Olmos

  • Noelia Geribaldi-Dóldan

  • Cecilia Fernández-Ponce

  • Eloina Zarate Peñata

  • Yesit Bello Lemus

  • Lisandro Pacheco Lugo

  • Leonardo Pacheco Londoño

  • Antonio Acosta-Hoyos

  • Nataly Galan Freyle

  • Elkin Navarro Quiroz

  • June 19, 2026

  • 0 min

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Clinical Scorecard: Understanding Mechanisms Influencing Dengue Severity: A Systematic Review with Evidence Stratification and Agent-Based Assessment of Logical Coherence

At a Glance

CategoryDetail
ConditionSevere Dengue
Key MechanismsNS1-mediated endothelial injury, glycocalyx disruption, inflammatory myeloid activation, coagulation/platelet abnormalities
Target PopulationPediatric and immunocompromised populations
Care SettingClinical research and systematic review

Key Highlights

  • Severe dengue is characterized by plasma leakage, thrombocytopenia, and hemorrhage.
  • Three mechanism families reached C1_conditional evidence: NS1-linked vascular permeability, endothelial glycocalyx/barrier disruption, and myeloid effector activation.
  • No mechanism family was eligible for quantitative pooling due to insufficient outcome harmonization.
  • The ABM demonstrated that NS1, barrier, and myeloid components can generate a connected endothelial-barrier failure analog.
  • Claim escalation requires longitudinal cohorts and functional perturbation assays.

Guideline-Based Recommendations

Diagnosis

  • Monitor for signs of severe dengue including plasma leakage and thrombocytopenia.

Management

  • Focus on understanding the role of NS1 and myeloid activation in severe cases.

Monitoring & Follow-up

  • Track NS1 levels, endothelial barrier injury markers, and myeloid effector proxies.

Risks

  • Increased mortality risk in pediatric and immunocompromised populations.

Patient & Prescribing Data

Individuals infected with dengue virus, particularly those at risk for severe disease.

Current evidence does not support the efficacy of rupatadine or oseltamivir in reducing severe dengue symptoms.

Clinical Best Practices

  • Utilize a stratified evidence framework for mechanistic claims in dengue research.
  • Incorporate longitudinal studies to better understand the transition from uncomplicated to severe dengue.

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Original Source(s)

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