Non-linear association between thyroid scintigraphy-derived thyroid weight and I-131 treatment efficacy in graves’ disease: a multicenter restricted cubic spline and threshold analysis - Scorecard - MDSpire

Non-linear association between thyroid scintigraphy-derived thyroid weight and I-131 treatment efficacy in graves’ disease: a multicenter restricted cubic spline and threshold analysis

  • By

  • Lu Lu

  • LeLe Zhang

  • Dongyun Meng

  • Xiaojuan Wei

  • Yan Chen

  • Shaozhou Mo

  • Zeyong Sun

  • Fengyang Song

  • Yuehua Li

  • Xingyu Mu

  • Wentan Huang

  • Wei Fu

  • Kehua Liao

  • July 17, 2026

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Clinical Scorecard: Non-linear Relationship Between Thyroid Weight from Scintigraphy and Efficacy of I-131 Treatment in Graves’ Disease: A Multicenter Analysis Using Restricted Cubic Splines and Thresholds

At a Glance

CategoryDetail
ConditionGraves’ Disease
Key MechanismsThyroid-stimulating hormone receptor antibodies induce excessive thyroid stimulation, leading to hyperthyroidism.
Target PopulationPatients with Graves’ disease receiving I-131 therapy.
Care SettingNuclear medicine centers

Key Highlights

  • Significant non-linear association between thyroid weight and I-131 treatment efficacy.
  • 40.8% of patients experienced non-remission after initial I-131 therapy.
  • Exploratory inflection point for thyroid weight identified at approximately 46 g.
  • Thyroid weight, female gender, and disease duration >2 years are independent predictors of treatment outcome.
  • Mediation analysis indicates RAIU at 3 h is a modest partial mediator.

Guideline-Based Recommendations

Diagnosis

  • Diagnosis of Graves’ disease based on clinical symptoms, elevated FT3 and FT4, suppressed TSH, and positive TRAb.

Management

  • Individualized RAI dosing strategies incorporating thyroid weight thresholds.

Monitoring & Follow-up

  • Follow-up data collection post I-131 therapy to assess treatment outcomes.

Risks

  • Risk of post-treatment hypothyroidism associated with smaller thyroid glands.

Patient & Prescribing Data

612 patients with Graves’ disease receiving initial I-131 treatment.

Thyroid weight is central for individualized dosimetry in I-131 therapy.

Clinical Best Practices

  • Utilize thyroid scintigraphy for accurate thyroid weight estimation.
  • Consider non-linear dynamics of thyroid weight in treatment planning.
  • Monitor patient outcomes to refine individualized treatment strategies.

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