Impact of COVID-19 Restrictions on Estimating Causal Effects: Fluoroquinolones and Tendon Rupture - Scorecard - MDSpire
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How COVID-19 Restrictions Affect Causal Effect Estimates: Fluoroquinolone Use and Tendon Rupture

  • By

  • Angel Y. S. Wong

  • Jeremy P. Brown

  • John Tazare

  • Marleen Bokern

  • Elizabeth Williamson

  • Jonathan Bartlett

  • Charlotte Warren-Gash

  • Ian Douglas

  • October 15, 2026

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Clinical Scorecard: How COVID-19 Restrictions Affect Causal Effect Estimates: Fluoroquinolone Use and Tendon Rupture

At a Glance

CategoryDetail
ConditionTendon rupture
Key MechanismsThe study examined whether pandemic-related changes in health-seeking behaviour and treatment decisions, together with measurement errors, could affect estimates of the effect of fluoroquinolones versus cephalosporins on tendon rupture.
Target PopulationAdults aged 18 years or older receiving a first systemic fluoroquinolone or cephalosporin prescription in UK primary care between 1 January 2006 and 31 March 2023, meeting the study’s linkage and prior-registration or practice-data-quality requirements.
Care SettingCPRD Aurum UK primary care records linked to Hospital Episode Statistics and Office for National Statistics death records.

Key Highlights

  • The study replicated a published cohort study estimating tendon rupture risk after fluoroquinolone versus cephalosporin prescribing.
  • Four analyses varied the periods used for exposure and outcome ascertainment.
  • The pandemic period began on 16 March 2020; the post-pandemic period began on 17 April 2022.
  • Tendon rupture was identified from diagnostic records using prespecified CPRD and HES codelists.
  • The supplied source excerpt does not specify follow-up censoring events; remove this highlight unless verified from the full methods.

Guideline-Based Recommendations

Diagnosis

    Management

      Monitoring & Follow-up

        Risks

        • The authors state that pandemic-related changes in health-seeking behaviour and EHR recording could introduce bias into causal-effect estimates.
        • The article describes tendon rupture as a well-established adverse drug reaction to fluoroquinolones.

        Patient & Prescribing Data

        Adults aged 18 years or older receiving a first systemic fluoroquinolone or cephalosporin prescription between 1 January 2006 and 31 March 2023, with required HES/ONS linkage and at least 1 year of prior practice registration or practice data deemed research quality; those with a tendon rupture diagnosis in the preceding year were excluded.

        The exposed cohort received a first systemic prescription for ciprofloxacin, levofloxacin, moxifloxacin, norfloxacin, or ofloxacin. The comparison cohort received a first systemic cephalosporin prescription; people with fluoroquinolone exposure in the preceding 60 days were excluded.

        Clinical Best Practices

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