Temporal dynamics and determinants of early recurrence after curative resection for stage I-III rectal cancer: integrated analyses of hazard function, survival, and competing risks - Scorecard - MDSpire

Temporal dynamics and determinants of early recurrence after curative resection for stage I-III rectal cancer: integrated analyses of hazard function, survival, and competing risks

  • By

  • Rongda He

  • Zhiqiang Zhang

  • Ruishu Li

  • Yulong He

  • June 18, 2026

  • 0 min

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Clinical Scorecard: Analysis of Temporal Patterns and Influencing Factors for Early Recurrence Following Curative Surgery in Stage I-III Rectal Cancer: A Comprehensive Study of Hazard Functions, Survival Rates, and Competing Risks

At a Glance

CategoryDetail
Condition
Key MechanismsLymph node ratio (LNR) and T4 stage are correlates of early recurrence and long-term outcomes.
Target Population
Care Setting

Key Highlights

  • Recurrence hazard peaks at approximately 24 months post-surgery.
  • LNR and T4 stage are correlates of early recurrence.
  • Distant metastasis and local recurrence are observed during follow-up.
  • Cox regression shows LNR and T4 stage are associated with time-to-recurrence and overall survival.
  • Fine-Gray analysis indicates LNR and T4 stage correlate with distant metastasis.

Guideline-Based Recommendations

Diagnosis

  • Utilize logistic regression to identify early recurrence factors.

Management

  • Consider risk-stratified postoperative surveillance based on time window and pathological risk burden.

Monitoring & Follow-up

  • Focus on the high-risk window for early recurrence, particularly within 24 months post-surgery.

Risks

  • Monitor lymph node ratio and T4 stage as risk factors for recurrence.

Patient & Prescribing Data

1,045 patients with stage I-III rectal cancer.

Postoperative management should consider temporal patterns of recurrence.

Clinical Best Practices

  • Implement dynamic risk assessment for postoperative surveillance.
  • Integrate analysis of early recurrence, long-term outcomes, and failure patterns.

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