Temporal trends and projected mortality of myocardial infarction and heart failure in the United States, 1999–2035: a CDC WONDER analysis - Scorecard - MDSpire

Temporal trends and projected mortality of myocardial infarction and heart failure in the United States, 1999–2035: a CDC WONDER analysis

  • By

  • Muhammad Hussain Azam

  • Muhammad Hassan Azam

  • Divesh Sunil Sachdev

  • Hasibullah Aminpoor

  • Taha Ahmed

  • Talha Aamir

  • Muhammad Tayyab Azam

  • Nazila Dalir

  • Faizan Ahmed

  • July 9, 2026

  • 0 min

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Clinical Scorecard: Trends in Mortality Rates and Future Projections for Myocardial Infarction and Heart Failure in the U.S. from 1999 to 2035: Insights from CDC WONDER Data

At a Glance

CategoryDetail
ConditionMyocardial Infarction and Heart Failure
Key MechanismsAcute coronary artery occlusion, myocardial necrosis, adverse ventricular remodeling, ischemia-reperfusion injury, and metabolic dysregulation.
Target PopulationAdults aged ≥25 years in the United States.
Care SettingNational mortality analysis using CDC WONDER data.

Key Highlights

  • Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) for MI and HF declined from 15.32 in 1999 to 7.55 in 2024.
  • Mortality rates are higher in men and non-Hispanic Black individuals compared to women and other racial groups.
  • Regional variation shows the South with the highest mortality burden and the Northeast with the lowest.
  • Adults aged ≥65 years have the highest mortality rates, with increasing rates among those aged 25–44 years after 2010.
  • Rural populations exhibit higher mortality rates than urban populations.

Guideline-Based Recommendations

Diagnosis

  • Utilize ICD-10 codes I21–I22 for myocardial infarction and I50 for heart failure.

Management

  • Implement equitable prevention strategies and improve access to cardiovascular care.

Monitoring & Follow-up

  • Track age-adjusted mortality rates and demographic disparities in MI and HF outcomes.

Risks

  • Consider rising obesity and diabetes prevalence as significant risk factors for MI and HF.

Patient & Prescribing Data

Adults aged ≥25 years with MI and HF-related deaths.

Focus on addressing demographic and geographic disparities in mortality.

Clinical Best Practices

  • Integrate MI and HF burden projections for comprehensive cardiovascular care.
  • Monitor trends in mortality rates to inform public health strategies.

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