Nomograms to predict severe PH and survival in COPD patients using non-invasive parameters - Scorecard - MDSpire

Nomograms to predict severe PH and survival in COPD patients using non-invasive parameters

  • By

  • Xingxing Sun

  • Yuan Cao

  • Hanqing Zhu

  • Jianhua Xu

  • Bigyan Pudasaini

  • Wenlan Yang

  • Jinming Liu

  • Jian Guo

  • June 11, 2026

  • 0 min

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Clinical Scorecard: Development of Nomograms for Assessing Severe Pulmonary Hypertension and Prognosis in Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Using Non-Invasive Metrics

At a Glance

CategoryDetail
ConditionSevere Pulmonary Hypertension in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease
Key MechanismsNon-invasive clinical parameters predicting severe PH and mortality risk
Target PopulationPatients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD)
Care SettingPulmonary hospital

Key Highlights

  • Nomograms developed for predicting severe PH and survival in COPD-PH patients
  • Key predictors for severe PH include peak SpO2, peak VO2/kg, peak HR, and PASP
  • Survival predictors include age, DLCO% predicted, and VE/VCO2 slope
  • C-index for severe PH prediction models was 0.906 and 0.93 for training and validation cohorts
  • C-index for survival prediction models was 0.80 and 0.69 for training and validation cohorts

Guideline-Based Recommendations

Diagnosis

  • Diagnosis of COPD based on GOLD criteria with FEV1/FVC < 0.70
  • Diagnosis of COPD-PH with mPAP >20 mmHg and no alternative causes

Management

  • Use of nomograms for risk stratification and decision-making in COPD-PH patients

Monitoring & Follow-up

  • Regular assessment of non-invasive metrics to predict PH severity and survival

Risks

  • Severe PH is an independent risk factor for adverse outcomes and mortality in COPD

Patient & Prescribing Data

179 COPD patients, including those with severe PH

Nomograms may facilitate timely initiation of targeted therapeutic interventions

Clinical Best Practices

  • Incorporate non-invasive metrics in routine assessments for COPD patients
  • Utilize nomograms for individualized patient risk assessment

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