Modeling the impact of vaccine dose prioritization strategies during the 2022 mpox outbreak - Scorecard - MDSpire

Modeling the impact of vaccine dose prioritization strategies during the 2022 mpox outbreak

  • By

  • Patrick A Clay

  • Emily D Pollock

  • Enrique M Saldarriaga

  • Preeti Pathela

  • Michelle Macaraig

  • Jane R Zucker

  • Bindy Crouch

  • Ian Kracalik

  • Ian H Spicknall

  • March 11, 2025

  • 0 min

Share

Clinical Scorecard: Evaluating Vaccine Dose Prioritization Approaches During the 2022 Mpox Outbreak

At a Glance

CategoryDetail
ConditionMpox (Monkeypox virus infection)
Key MechanismsTransmission via sexual networks among GBMSM; vaccination with JYNNEOS vaccine (1 or 2 doses) reduces infection risk
Target PopulationGay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM) at increased risk of mpox
Care SettingPublic health vaccination campaigns and outbreak response in urban settings (e.g., New York City)

Key Highlights

  • NYC prioritized widespread single-dose vaccination due to limited JYNNEOS vaccine supply during 2022 mpox outbreak.
  • Modeling estimated that NYC’s first-dose priority strategy averted 66% of potential mpox cases compared to no vaccination.
  • Preallocating full 2-dose courses to a smaller population would have increased outbreak size compared to first-dose priority.

Guideline-Based Recommendations

Diagnosis

  • Diagnosis based on symptom onset and mpox testing among symptomatic individuals in at-risk populations.
  • Individuals seeking treatment for mpox symptoms should be tested and reported as diagnosed cases.

Management

  • Administer JYNNEOS vaccine with priority on first-dose coverage during vaccine shortages.
  • Symptomatic individuals should abstain from sexual activity until recovery.
  • Symptom onset reduces sexual contact rates by 50% and lowers sexual activity level.

Monitoring & Follow-up

  • Monitor incident mpox cases to calibrate transmission models and guide vaccination strategies.
  • Track vaccine administration data and case reports to evaluate outbreak control.

Risks

  • Limited vaccine supply may necessitate prioritization strategies impacting outbreak size.
  • Delaying second doses in favor of widespread first-dose coverage may be more effective in outbreak control.

Patient & Prescribing Data

GBMSM population in New York City at increased risk for mpox infection.

Single-dose vaccination strategy averted more cases than prioritizing full 2-dose vaccination in a smaller group during vaccine shortages.

Clinical Best Practices

  • Prioritize first-dose vaccination widely during outbreaks with limited vaccine supply to maximize cases averted.
  • Use dynamic network modeling to inform vaccination strategies tailored to sexual behavior patterns in GBMSM.
  • Encourage symptomatic individuals to reduce sexual contacts and seek testing promptly.

References

Original Source(s)

Related Content