Construction and verification of a prediction model for sleep disorders in older patients with coronary heart disease based on machine learning algorithms - Scorecard - MDSpire

Construction and verification of a prediction model for sleep disorders in older patients with coronary heart disease based on machine learning algorithms

  • By

  • Dali Dong

  • Xiang Peng

  • Siling Tan

  • Hua He

  • June 30, 2026

  • 0 min

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Clinical Scorecard: Development and validation of a machine learning-based predictive model for sleep disorders in elderly individuals with coronary heart disease

At a Glance

CategoryDetail
ConditionSleep disorders in older adults with coronary heart disease
Key MechanismsMachine learning algorithms for predictive modeling
Target PopulationOlder adults (≥ 60 years) with coronary heart disease
Care SettingCardiology department of a hospital

Key Highlights

  • 24.26% of older CHD patients experienced sleep disorders.
  • LASSO regression identified five key risk factors: sex, duration of CHD, chronic gastritis, anxiety, and depression.
  • Random forest model achieved the highest AUC (0.839) and accuracy (0.766) in the training set.
  • Logistic regression showed the best specificity (0.875) in the validation set.
  • External validation of the Logistic regression model demonstrated an AUC of 0.785.

Guideline-Based Recommendations

Diagnosis

  • Use PSQI to assess sleep disorders in older CHD patients.

Management

  • Implement targeted interventions for identified risk factors such as anxiety and depression.

Monitoring & Follow-up

  • Regularly evaluate sleep quality in older patients with CHD.

Risks

  • Patients with CHD and sleep disorders face increased risks of malignant arrhythmias and myocardial infarction.

Patient & Prescribing Data

Older adults with coronary heart disease

Focus on managing comorbidities that may affect sleep quality.

Clinical Best Practices

  • Utilize machine learning models for improved prediction of sleep disorders.
  • Incorporate comprehensive health management strategies for older CHD patients.

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