AI-guided personalized predictions on myopia progression and interventions - Scorecard - MDSpire

AI-guided personalized predictions on myopia progression and interventions

  • By

  • Sian Liu

  • Yuxing Lu

  • Xiaoman Li

  • Xiaoniao Chen

  • Zhuo Sun

  • Gen Li

  • Kai Wang

  • Wei Wu

  • Hui Xu

  • Hongyi Li

  • Changxi Hu

  • Zixing Zou

  • Miao Zhang

  • Xuan Zhang

  • Wenyang Lu

  • Yun Yin

  • Jia Qu

  • Kang Zhang

  • Jie Chen

  • January 12, 2026

  • 0 min

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Clinical Scorecard: Personalized Predictions and Interventions for Myopia Progression Using AI Technology

At a Glance

CategoryDetail
ConditionMyopia and high myopia progression
Key MechanismsAxial length growth and spherical equivalent changes predicted via Transformer-based AI models
Target PopulationChildren and adolescents aged 8 to 18 years with myopia
Care SettingOphthalmology clinics and specialized eye hospitals

Key Highlights

  • High prevalence of myopia in Asia, with up to 80% of Chinese high school graduates affected and 10–20% having high myopia.
  • Current myopia control interventions include low-dose atropine, orthokeratology lenses, peripheral defocus spectacles, and repeated low-level red light therapy, each with specific limitations and risks.
  • Development of a Transformer-based Myopia Progression Predictive Model (MPPM) with Natural Progression Module (NPM) and Intervention Progression Module (IPM) enables individualized, long-term predictions of myopia progression and treatment effects.

Guideline-Based Recommendations

Diagnosis

  • Use longitudinal measurements of spherical equivalent (SE) and axial length (AL) to monitor myopia progression.
  • Apply machine-learning-based imputation to address missing AL data when necessary.

Management

  • Consider early intervention in high-risk pediatric patients using atropine 0.01%, orthokeratology lenses, peripheral defocus spectacles, or repeated low-level red light therapy.
  • Utilize AI-based predictive models to tailor intervention choice and timing based on individualized progression risk and expected treatment benefit.

Monitoring & Follow-up

  • Regular follow-up visits with refraction and axial length measurements to assess progression and treatment response.
  • Use AI model outputs to adjust management plans dynamically over the typical 10-year progression period.

Risks

  • Atropine may cause photophobia, transient near-vision impairment, or allergic reactions.
  • Orthokeratology lenses carry risks of corneal epithelial injury and infection.
  • Peripheral defocus spectacles involve high fitting costs limiting accessibility.
  • Repeated low-level red light therapy may pose potential retinal phototoxicity risks with long-term use.

Patient & Prescribing Data

Pediatric myopia patients aged 8–18 years receiving various myopia control interventions

AI models trained on large longitudinal cohorts enable prediction of individual treatment efficacy, optimizing intervention selection and potentially reducing unnecessary exposure to risks and costs.

Clinical Best Practices

  • Collect comprehensive longitudinal data including age, sex, SE, and AL for accurate prediction modeling.
  • Incorporate AI-based tools such as the MPPM to forecast natural progression and intervention outcomes for personalized care.
  • Balance benefits and risks of each intervention considering patient-specific factors and predicted treatment effects.
  • Ensure regular monitoring and adjust treatment plans based on ongoing progression and AI model feedback.

References

Original Source(s)

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