Clinical Characteristics and Factors Associated With Severe Outcomes of 1891 Pediatric Patients Admitted to the Referral Cholera Treatment Centers in Lusaka, Zambia, December 2023–March 2024 - Scorecard - MDSpire

Clinical Characteristics and Factors Associated With Severe Outcomes of 1891 Pediatric Patients Admitted to the Referral Cholera Treatment Centers in Lusaka, Zambia, December 2023–March 2024

  • By

  • Nawa Kalima

  • Tadatsugu Imamura

  • Ilunga Chambah

  • Nyuma Mbewe

  • Annel Sinkala

  • Chalilwe Chungu

  • Khozya Zyambo

  • Paul Msanzya Zulu

  • Kelvin Mwangilwa

  • Muzala Kapin’a

  • Anchingika Mugala

  • Kabaso Mwewa

  • Paul Mashanga

  • Natasha Ngwenya

  • Bob Chirwa

  • Shingo Mitsushima

  • Yuuki Tsuchihashi

  • Taro Kamigaki

  • Aggrey Mweemba

  • Nathan Kapata

  • Roma Chilengi

  • Lloyd Mulenga

  • April 9, 2025

  • 0 min

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Clinical Scorecard: Clinical Features and Determinants Linked to Severe Outcomes in 1891 Pediatric Cases Treated at Cholera Referral Centers in Lusaka, Zambia, December 2023–March 2024

At a Glance

CategoryDetail
ConditionPediatric cholera infection with dehydration and comorbidities
Key MechanismsAcute watery diarrhea causing dehydration; severity influenced by comorbidities such as HIV and severe acute malnutrition (SAM)
Target PopulationChildren aged 0 to 15 years hospitalized with cholera in Lusaka, Zambia
Care SettingTwo main cholera treatment centers (Heroes CTC and Levy CTC) in Lusaka

Key Highlights

  • Among 1891 pediatric patients, 1.4% had fatal outcomes and 47.9% had hospitalization longer than 2 days.
  • Independent risk factors for prolonged hospitalization (>2 days) included HIV infection, severe acute malnutrition, and dehydration treatment plans B and C.
  • No independent risk factors for mortality were identified by penalized logistic regression, though younger age and SAM showed positive association in bivariate analysis.

Guideline-Based Recommendations

Diagnosis

  • Assess dehydration severity using clinical signs: no dehydration, some dehydration, or severe dehydration.
  • Classify dehydration severity based on alertness, pulse, thirst, eye appearance, skin pinch, and danger signs.
  • Screen for comorbidities such as HIV infection and severe acute malnutrition.

Management

  • Assign treatment plans based on dehydration severity: Plan A (oral rehydration), Plan B (oral rehydration with 75 mL/kg over 4 hours), Plan C (intravenous Ringer lactate).
  • Modify treatment plans for patients with SAM to include low-osmolarity oral rehydration, reduced infusion rates, and monitoring for hypoglycemia and hypothermia.
  • Refer patients with comorbidities to specialized care centers (Levy CTC) for intensified management.

Monitoring & Follow-up

  • Closely monitor hydration status and clinical progression, especially in patients on treatment plans B and C.
  • Monitor for deterioration requiring escalation of care.
  • Observe for complications related to comorbidities such as SAM and HIV.

Risks

  • Prolonged hospitalization is associated with HIV infection, severe acute malnutrition, and higher dehydration severity.
  • Mortality risk factors remain unclear and require further investigation.
  • Younger age and SAM may increase risk of fatal outcomes based on bivariate analysis.

Patient & Prescribing Data

Pediatric patients aged 0–15 years hospitalized with cholera in Lusaka, Zambia

Treatment plans B and C correlate with longer hospital stays; modified protocols for SAM patients are essential to address comorbidity-related risks.

Clinical Best Practices

  • Early and accurate assessment of dehydration severity to guide appropriate treatment plan assignment.
  • Screening and management of comorbidities, especially HIV and severe acute malnutrition, to reduce hospitalization duration.
  • Use of modified rehydration protocols for malnourished children to prevent complications.
  • Referral of patients with comorbidities to specialized treatment centers for comprehensive care.
  • Close monitoring of clinical status to detect deterioration and adjust treatment promptly.

References

Original Source(s)

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