CHA2DS2-VA and non-CHA2DS2-VA components as predictors of mortality after cavotricuspid isthmus ablation: a clinical tool for long-term risk stratification - Scorecard - MDSpire

Evaluating CHA2DS2-VA and Non-CHA2DS2-VA Factors as Indicators of Mortality Following Cavotricuspid Isthmus Ablation: A Tool for Long-Term Risk Assessment

  • By

  • Kamilla Luca Dávid

  • Előd János Zsigmond

  • Manuella Bogdan

  • Balázs Polgár

  • Nikolett Vigh

  • Zalán Gulyás

  • Judit Papp

  • Emese Tóth-Zsámboki

  • Gábor Zoltán Duray

  • July 20, 2026

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Clinical Scorecard: Evaluating CHA2DS2-VA and Non-CHA2DS2-VA Factors as Indicators of Mortality Following Cavotricuspid Isthmus Ablation: A Tool for Long-Term Risk Assessment

At a Glance

CategoryDetail
ConditionTypical Atrial Flutter (AFL)
Key MechanismsCHA₂DS₂-VA score as a predictor of all-cause mortality post-CTI ablation.
Target PopulationPatients undergoing CTI ablation for typical AFL.
Care SettingCardiology outpatient and inpatient settings.

Key Highlights

  • 27% of patients died during a mean follow-up of 1771 days.
  • CHA₂DS₂-VA score ≥3 identified as optimal threshold for mortality prediction.
  • Annual mortality rates: 1.4% for scores <3 vs. 9.9% for scores ≥3.
  • CHA₂DS₂-VA score demonstrated good discriminative ability (c-index = 0.73).
  • Pulmonary disease and obstructive sleep apnea independently predicted adverse long-term survival.

Guideline-Based Recommendations

Diagnosis

  • CHA₂DS₂-VA score should be calculated at the time of ablation.

Management

  • Incorporate CHA₂DS₂-VA and non-CHA₂DS₂-VA comorbidities for individualized follow-up strategies.

Monitoring & Follow-up

  • Monitor patients post-ablation for long-term survival based on CHA₂DS₂-VA score.

Risks

  • Higher CHA₂DS₂-VA scores correlate with increased mortality risk.

Patient & Prescribing Data

249 consecutive patients who underwent CTI ablation for typical AFL.

CHA₂DS₂-VA score can extend clinical utility beyond thromboembolic risk assessment.

Clinical Best Practices

  • Utilize CHA₂DS₂-VA score for risk stratification in patients post-CTI ablation.
  • Assess additional comorbidities for comprehensive risk evaluation.

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