Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting ADL outcomes in patients undergoing subacute stroke rehabilitation based on machine learning and standard bedside clinical data: a retrospective cohort study - Scorecard - MDSpire

Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting ADL outcomes in patients undergoing subacute stroke rehabilitation based on machine learning and standard bedside clinical data: a retrospective cohort study

  • By

  • Xinye Chen

  • Juming Liu

  • Jiawei Qin

  • Xi Qin

  • Changyu Ju

  • Suchen Zhao

  • Qianqian Sun

  • June 19, 2026

  • 0 min

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Clinical Scorecard: Creation and assessment of a predictive nomogram for ADL recovery in subacute stroke rehabilitation patients utilizing machine learning and standard clinical data: a retrospective cohort analysis

At a Glance

CategoryDetail
ConditionSubacute Stroke Rehabilitation
Key MechanismsPredictive modeling using routine clinical data and machine learning techniques.
Target PopulationPatients admitted to rehabilitation 7 to 30 days after first stroke.
Care SettingRehabilitation wards for subacute interventions.

Key Highlights

  • Developed a predictive model for ADL recovery at 3 months post-rehabilitation.
  • Key predictors include Braden score, baseline Barthel Index score, and age.
  • The model achieved an AUC of 0.866 in the validation cohort.

Guideline-Based Recommendations

Diagnosis

  • Assess ADL independence using Barthel Index (BI) score.

Management

  • Utilize the nomogram for individualized rehabilitation planning.

Monitoring & Follow-up

  • Monitor changes in ADL status at 3 months post-rehabilitation.

Risks

  • Consider individual variations in recovery potential.

Patient & Prescribing Data

Patients with first-ever ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke, aged ≥18 years.

Routine bedside assessments can inform rehabilitation strategies.

Clinical Best Practices

  • Incorporate predictive modeling tools in rehabilitation settings.
  • Use readily available clinical data for assessing rehabilitation outcomes.

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