Recalibrating the urine output criteria for acute kidney injury: stage-specific thresholds matched to creatinine-stage-derived mortality - Scorecard - MDSpire
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Aligning Urine Output Thresholds for Acute Kidney Injury Stages With Creatinine-Based Mortality Risk

  • By

  • Annelie Barrueta Tenhunen

  • Rasmus Mossberg

  • Miklos Lipcsey

  • Mikael Eriksson

  • Michael Marks-Hultström

  • October 28, 2026

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Clinical Scorecard: Aligning Urine Output Thresholds for Acute Kidney Injury Stages With Creatinine-Based Mortality Risk

At a Glance

CategoryDetail
ConditionAcute kidney injury (AKI), staged using KDIGO criteria
Key MechanismsThe study compared urine-output thresholds with creatinine-defined KDIGO stages by matching their associations with 14-day mortality.
Target PopulationAdults aged 18 years or older admitted to a general ICU, excluding patients with pre-existing chronic kidney disease.
Care SettingSingle tertiary-care general ICU at Uppsala University Hospital, Sweden; findings require validation in other ICU populations and healthcare systems.

Key Highlights

  • The analysis included 5,698 ICU admissions involving 4,999 unique adults.
  • Under current urine-output criteria, mortality was underestimated by 37% at stage 1 and 48% at stage 2, and overestimated by 34% at stage 3, relative to creatinine-defined staging.
  • Mortality-equivalent urine-output thresholds were identified for each creatinine-defined KDIGO stage over 3-, 6-, and 12-hour periods; for 24 hours, thresholds were identified for stages 1 and 2 but not stage 3.
  • All identified thresholds were below the current stage 1 cutoff of 0.5 mL/kg/h.
  • Urine output below 0.24 mL/kg/h sustained for 3 hours was associated with mortality equivalent to creatinine-defined stage 1 AKI.

Guideline-Based Recommendations

Diagnosis

  • KDIGO remains the standard definition and staging system for AKI; the proposed 2026 revision retains the existing urine-output criterion.
  • The study provides mortality-equivalent urine-output thresholds as reference values for future validation, not as established replacement diagnostic criteria.

Management

    Monitoring & Follow-up

    • The analysis evaluated minimum average urine output across overlapping 3-, 6-, 12-, and 24-hour intervals.

    Risks

    • Thresholds are prognostic rather than causal and were adjusted only for age and sex; residual confounding cannot be ruled out.
    • Diuretic administration, fluid status, and continuous renal replacement therapy were not considered.
    • The study was conducted in one tertiary-care ICU and requires validation in other healthcare systems and ICU populations.

    Patient & Prescribing Data

    Adults aged 18 years or older admitted to the general ICU at Uppsala University Hospital from October 6, 2015, through April 30, 2024; admissions involving pre-existing chronic kidney disease were excluded.

    No treatment or prescribing intervention was evaluated. The study assessed associations between minimum sustained urine output and 14-day mortality.

    Clinical Best Practices

    • Interpret the reported urine-output thresholds as prognostic research findings, not causal estimates or validated clinical cutoffs.
    • Consider the study's single-center setting and unmeasured factors affecting urine output when interpreting its thresholds.
    • Further validation in other ICU populations is required before the thresholds are used in clinical guidelines.

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