Validation of a criterion-based screening and triage pathway for adult ADHD: a prospective observational study of safety and operational efficiency - Summary - MDSpire

Validation of a criterion-based screening and triage pathway for adult ADHD: a prospective observational study of safety and operational efficiency

  • By

  • Marios Adamou

  • Tim Fullen

  • Rebecca Crisp

  • Emily Hallett

  • Lauren Spencer

  • Lydia Wharton

  • Sarah L. Jones

  • May 15, 2026

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Objective:

To assess the safety and operational effectiveness of a criterion-based screening model for adult ADHD within a NHS specialist secondary care setting, addressing the increasing demand for assessments.

Key Findings:
  • 12.5% of participants received an ADHD diagnosis.
  • The triage pathway achieved a sensitivity of 100.0% and an infinite Number Needed to Harm (NNH), indicating no false negatives but requiring careful interpretation.
  • Specificity was 45.2% with a positive predictive value of 20.7%.
  • 39.6% of referrals were triaged to alternative pathways, saving specialist clinician time.
Interpretation:

Criterion-based screening by trained non-specialist clinicians can enhance safety and efficiency in adult ADHD services, supporting task-shifting models and improving patient care.

Limitations:
  • Findings require replication in larger, multi-site studies to confirm generalizability.
  • Further research needed on inter-rater reliability and cost-effectiveness to validate the model's applicability.
Conclusion:

Preliminary findings indicate the potential for effective triage pathways in adult ADHD assessments, emphasizing the need for calibrated sensitivity in triage thresholds and the importance of further research.

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