Development and validation of a nomogram model for predicting cardiac autonomic neuropathy in patients with diabetes - Summary - MDSpire

Development and validation of a nomogram model for predicting cardiac autonomic neuropathy in patients with diabetes

  • By

  • Binhui Jia

  • Zhuyi Jiang

  • Xuexian Wen

  • Mingming Yang

  • Jun Wang

  • June 5, 2026

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Objective:

To develop and validate a predictive nomogram for Diabetic Cardiac Autonomic Neuropathy (DCAN) using readily available clinical variables, enhancing early detection and management in clinical settings.

Key Findings:
  • The prevalence of DCAN in the study population was 45.0%.
  • Seven independent predictors for DCAN were identified: history of diabetic retinopathy or diabetic kidney disease, diabetes duration, age, heart rate, fasting plasma glucose, and HbA1c, which have significant implications for patient management.
  • The LR model showed the best performance in the validation cohort with an AUC of 0.838 and sensitivity of 77.0%, indicating its potential for clinical application.
Interpretation:

The developed nomogram and web calculator provide a user-friendly tool for early risk assessment of DCAN in diabetes patients, potentially improving patient outcomes.

Limitations:
  • The study was conducted in a single center, which may limit generalizability.
  • Retrospective design may introduce bias in data collection, affecting the reliability of the findings.
Conclusion:

A high-sensitivity prediction model for DCAN was developed and validated, offering a cost-effective tool for risk assessment in diabetes, emphasizing the importance of early detection and management.

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