Derivation and validation of a machine learning-driven score to predict the diagnostic yield of endomyocardial biopsy - Summary - MDSpire

Derivation and validation of a machine learning-driven score to predict the diagnostic yield of endomyocardial biopsy

  • By

  • Christian Basile

  • Christian L. Polte

  • Piero Gentile

  • Entela Bollano

  • Araz Rawshani

  • Anders Oldfors

  • Charlotta Ljungman

  • Sven-Erik Bartfay

  • Pia Dahlberg

  • Clara Hjalmarsson

  • Marie Björkenstam

  • Elena Gualini

  • Antonio Cannatá

  • Patrizia Pedrotti

  • Andrea Garascia

  • Gianluigi Savarese

  • Aldo Pietro Maggioni

  • Kristjan Karason

  • Emanuele Bobbio

  • February 9, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To develop and validate a machine-learning-based score predicting the likelihood of diagnostic endomyocardial biopsy (EMB) using non-invasive data.

Key Findings:
  • EMB yielded a definitive diagnosis in 19.9% of cases, primarily amyloidosis (50%).
  • Right ventricular late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) was the strongest predictor of diagnostic yield.
  • The predictive score ranged from 0-100 and demonstrated excellent discrimination with AUC values of 0.92 and 0.91 in cross-validation and testing set, respectively.
Interpretation:

The machine-learning-based score may serve as a non-invasive tool to aid in decision-making regarding EMB in clinical practice.

Limitations:
  • The datasets analyzed are not publicly available due to ethical and privacy restrictions.
  • The underlying code for the study is not publicly available.
Conclusion:

This study presents a promising machine-learning approach to enhance the diagnostic efficacy of EMB in heart failure patients.

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