Clinical predictors of BRCA1/2 P/LP variants for high-risk breast cancer patients in China: HBRCA-risk prediction - Summary - MDSpire

Clinical predictors of BRCA1/2 P/LP variants for high-risk breast cancer patients in China: HBRCA-risk prediction

  • By

  • Wei Gu

  • Chengyin Xu

  • Jinzhen Fu

  • Huijun Lei

  • Najeeb Ullah Khan

  • Ruijiao Lei

  • Xukai Chen

  • Xiao-jia Wang

  • Tianhui Chen

  • June 2, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To develop a clinicopathology-based model to predict BRCA1/2 pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) carrier status in high-risk breast cancer patients in China.

Key Findings:
  • BRCA1/2 P/LP variants were detected in 102 out of 1,204 patients (8.5%).
  • Strong associations were found between P/LP variants and triple-negative breast cancer (55.9%) and invasive ductal carcinoma (94.1%).
  • Older age was associated with a reduced risk of carrying P/LP variants.
  • The final model achieved an AUC of 0.758, indicating good discrimination.
Interpretation:

The developed model supports clinical implementation by extending testing beyond current guidelines and optimizing genetic resource use.

Limitations:
  • The study was conducted in a single center, which may limit generalizability.
  • Potential biases in data collection and patient selection may affect results.
Conclusion:

A clinicopathology-based model was successfully developed to predict BRCA1/2 P/LP carrier probability in a high-risk Chinese breast cancer cohort.

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