Prediction models for post-induction hypotension in patients undergoing general anesthesia: a systematic review and meta-analysis - Summary - MDSpire
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Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Prediction Models for Post-Induction Hypotension in Patients Undergoing General Anesthesia

  • By

  • Lu Meng

  • Kanru Zhao

  • Long Shen

  • Yuelai Yang

  • September 8, 2026

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Objective:

To systematically evaluate the predictive performance, methodological quality, and frequently used predictors of post-induction hypotension (PIH) prediction models among patients receiving general anesthesia.

Approach:
  • Study Selection: Studies were selected based on specific inclusion criteria, focusing on adults receiving general anesthesia and reporting PIH prediction models.
  • Data Extraction: Two reviewers independently conducted data extraction and assessed risk of bias using the PROBAST tool.
  • Meta-Analysis: A random-effects meta-analysis estimated the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and pooled odds ratios (ORs) for predictors.
Key Findings:
  • 15 studies (88.2%) were classified as high risk of bias; 2 (11.8%) as low risk.
  • Discrimination estimates varied: modeling groups AUC/C-statistics ranged from 0.68 to 0.95, while validation groups ranged from 0.654 to 0.893.
  • The pooled AUC for the 17 optimal models was 0.81 (95% CI 0.77–0.85).
  • Significant risk predictors included age (OR 1.031, 95% CI 1.016–1.046) and propofol dose (OR 1.357, 95% CI 1.046–1.667).
Interpretation:

Existing PIH prediction models show good discrimination but are mostly at high risk of bias and lack external validation.

Limitations:
  • High risk of bias in most studies.
  • Lack of external validation for the majority of models.
  • Inconsistent definitions of PIH across studies.
Conclusion:

Future research should standardize PIH definitions, refine predictor selection, and conduct multicenter external validation.

Sources:

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