Hierarchical regression analysis of physical fitness and BMI in primary school students in Sichuan Province - Summary - MDSpire

Hierarchical regression analysis of physical fitness and BMI in primary school students in Sichuan Province

  • By

  • Defa Zhang

  • Wennan Zhao

  • Jingtao Wu

  • Jun Hu

  • Xinjuan Zhao

  • July 3, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To investigate the associations between BMI and physical fitness indicators among primary school students in Sichuan Province, focusing on differences by gender, ethnicity, and age.

Approach:
  • Study Design: Analyzed physical fitness data from 36,092 primary school students aged 7–12 using multivariate analysis of variance, correlation analysis, and hierarchical multiple regression analysis.
Key Findings:
  • Significant differences in BMI were found across ethnicities, genders, and age groups (p < 0.001).
  • Han students had a higher average BMI (17.07) compared to Yi students (16.90) (F = 31.942, p < 0.001).
  • Boys had a higher average BMI (17.18) than girls (16.85) (F = 131.733, p < 0.001).
  • BMI increased significantly with age, peaking in the 12-year-old group (M = 18.08).
  • BMI was negatively correlated with 50-meter run performance (r = −0.266, p < 0.01) and lung capacity (r = −0.186, p < 0.01).
  • The final model explained only a modest proportion of BMI variance (R2 = 0.110).
Interpretation:

BMI in primary school students was significantly associated with gender, ethnicity, age, and physical fitness indicators.

Limitations:
  • Several potential confounders, including diet, socioeconomic status, physical activity, and sleep, were not included in the adjusted models, which may limit the interpretation of the findings.
  • The effect sizes observed were generally small.
Conclusion:

The study provides context-specific evidence on the associations between BMI and physical fitness among primary school students in Sichuan Province.

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