Clinical characteristics and predictors of adverse outcomes in children with acute rheumatic fever from a high-endemic region of Brazil - Summary - MDSpire

Clinical characteristics and predictors of adverse outcomes in children with acute rheumatic fever from a high-endemic region of Brazil

  • By

  • Renata Fonseca Mendoza

  • Letícia Leão de Oliveira

  • Bernardo Fonseca Mendoza

  • Jose Luiz Padilha da Silva

  • Paulo Henrique M. Melo

  • José Augusto Almeida Barbosa

  • Géssica Silva Santana

  • Airandes Pinto

  • Ndate Fall

  • Andrea Beaton

  • Maria Carmo Pereira Nunes

  • June 10, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To characterize the clinical profile of pediatric ARF and identify readily available predictors of adverse outcomes in a high-endemic region of Brazil, emphasizing the importance of these predictors in guiding timely management in resource-limited settings.

Key Findings:
  • 151 children included, median age 9 years, 46% female. Findings suggest significant implications for clinical management.
  • 76% had carditis, with 49% having moderate-to-severe involvement.
  • 13% experienced the primary outcome during a median follow-up of 17.5 months.
  • Absence of fever, higher ESR, and lower hematocrit were independently associated with adverse outcomes.
  • Incorporating ESR improved risk prediction with significant net reclassification improvement.
Interpretation:

Simple inflammatory and hematologic markers are associated with progression to severe outcomes in children with ARF.

Limitations:
  • Study conducted in a single center, which may limit generalizability.
  • Potential biases in retrospective data collection, including incomplete records and selection bias.
Conclusion:

ESR, an inexpensive and accessible test, provides incremental prognostic information and may support risk stratification strategies in resource-limited settings, ultimately improving patient outcomes.

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