Association between the albumin-to-lymphocyte ratio and short-term mortality in critically Ill pediatric patients: a retrospective cohort study and machine learning analysis - Summary - MDSpire

Association between the albumin-to-lymphocyte ratio and short-term mortality in critically Ill pediatric patients: a retrospective cohort study and machine learning analysis

  • By

  • Kai Chen

  • Huiyan Tang

  • Yuanyuan Ye

  • Jie Chen

  • Jie Liu

  • May 25, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To investigate the association between early albumin-to-lymphocyte ratio (ALR) and short-term all-cause mortality in pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) patients and evaluate its predictive utility.

Key Findings:
  • The overall 28-day mortality rate was 4.53% among 7,591 critically ill children.
  • The intermediate ALR tertile showed the lowest observed 28-day mortality and highest survival probability.
  • In the fully adjusted Cox model, both intermediate and highest ALR tertiles were associated with lower mortality risk compared to the lowest tertile.
  • Restricted cubic spline analysis indicated a non-linear association between ALR and mortality.
  • The XGBoost machine learning model achieved the best performance with an AUC of 0.835.
Interpretation:

Limitations:
  • The study is retrospective and conducted at a single center, which may limit generalizability.
  • Potential confounding factors may not have been fully accounted for despite adjustments.
Conclusion:

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