Asymmetric surge optimization during peak seasons: a discrete-event simulation of centralized fast-track operating rooms at a China National Children's Medical Center - Summary - MDSpire

Asymmetric surge optimization during peak seasons: a discrete-event simulation of centralized fast-track operating rooms at a China National Children's Medical Center

  • By

  • Yu Chen

  • Weihong Xu

  • Nanping Shen

  • Jiwen Sun

  • Bin Ji

  • Siyuan Wang

  • Wei Chen

  • July 8, 2026

  • 0 min

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Objective:

To evaluate an asymmetric, centralized fast-track operating room allocation strategy using discrete-event simulation to manage increased pediatric surgery demand during peak seasons.

Approach:
  • Model Construction: Developed a discrete-event simulation model using retrospective operational data from Shanghai Children's Medical Center.
  • Simulation Mechanism: Introduced a Prospective Simulation Probing mechanism under a dynamic safety-buffer policy to determine daily capacities.
  • Turnover Scenarios: Modeled fast-track turnover times with reductions of 5, 10, and 15 minutes compared to regular OR turnover times.
Key Findings:
  • The optimized 15-minute turnover-reduction scenario yielded a mean total throughput of 3,588.7 cases (median 3,589; 95% simulation interval, 3,562–3,614), a 38.29% increase over the historical baseline of 2,595 cases (95% interval for increase, 37.26%–39.27%).
  • The conservative 10-minute reduction scenario resulted in a mean throughput of 3,208.3 cases (median not specified), a 23.63% increase.
  • Centralized pooling protected throughput for complex surgeries while increasing capacity for fast-track procedures.
Interpretation:

The study suggests that separating short fast-track procedures from complex surgeries can enhance OR efficiency and throughput.

Limitations:
  • Implementation depends on staffing flexibility and local cost considerations.
  • The study is based on a single medical center's data, which may limit generalizability.
Conclusion:

Discrete-event simulation indicates that a centralized fast-track OR allocation strategy can manage the surge in pediatric surgeries during peak seasons.

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